NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	105		Excitement	2.9 [1200]		MVP	Tyronn Lue (MIL): +9.7%
New York Knicks	81		Comeback	1.1 [529]		LVP	Quentin Richardson (NYK): -13.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.01	0.03	7	93%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	12	62%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	-0.00	-0.03	16	47%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Joe Alexander	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	6	43%	0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	7	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Michael Redd	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	20	48%	0.05	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.02	2	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	8	62%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	17	47%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	17	52%	0.03	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	64%	0.02	5	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	10	61%	0.03	5	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	8	55%	-0.01	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.16	-0.01	-0.03	10	10%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	25.3	15.8	24.1	2.5	29.5	123.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +30.0%

NYK -4.8%

MIL +0.5%

MIL +24.1%

MIL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NYK	NBA	MIL	NYK	NBA
this game	15.6	13.9	15.5	108.2	82.7	106.4
season	15.0	13.8		104.9	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.6		109.1	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.7	15.1	16.5	17.7	15.6
NYK	12.9	13.7	14.8	14.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	70	71	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.19	24	0	24	15.5	16.0	-0.50	14.2	13.3	0.90
Michael Redd	79	80	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.21	22	2	20	15.5	16.1	-0.58	14.0	13.6	0.43
Luke Ridnour	60	62	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.14	19	5	14	15.9	15.2	0.64	13.8	14.1	-0.36
Andrew Bogut	57	60	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.20	21	3	18	15.7	15.6	0.07	14.4	13.1	1.27
Luc Mbah a Moute	65	65	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	11	2	15.6	15.7	-0.03	13.8	14.1	-0.23
Tyronn Lue	40	41	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.06	10	14	-4	15.7	15.6	0.06	14.4	13.5	0.87
Ramon Sessions	14	14	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.15	8	16	-8	16.3	15.5	0.76	14.4	13.8	0.52
Charlie Villanueva	24	22	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	21	-18	14.1	16.1	-2.01	13.1	14.1	-1.00
Charlie Bell	45	44	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	26	-28	15.9	15.4	0.47	13.2	14.5	-1.32
Austin Croshere	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	21	-18	19.3	15.4	3.94	14.1	13.9	0.25
Joe Alexander	25	24	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	25	-26	15.4	15.7	-0.27	13.1	14.2	-1.09

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome James	12	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-23	22	14.6	13.8	0.77	16.7	15.5	1.23
Malik Rose	13	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-20	16	14.3	13.8	0.46	15.3	15.7	-0.35
Anthony Roberson	13	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-20	16	14.3	13.8	0.46	15.3	15.7	-0.35
Tim Thomas	14	14	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	-15	6	14.3	13.8	0.44	13.4	16.0	-2.67
Chris Duhon	47	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	-17	10	14.3	13.5	0.79	16.8	14.4	2.38
Nate Robinson	84	84	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-12	0	13.5	16.6	-3.11	15.8	14.8	0.92
Quentin Richardson	58	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.21	-19	-5	-14	14.5	13.1	1.41	15.1	16.4	-1.25
Wilson Chandler	84	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.23	-22	-2	-20	14.1	12.9	1.14	15.7	15.2	0.52
David Lee	74	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.10	-18	-6	-12	13.5	15.1	-1.56	15.8	15.0	0.79
Al Harrington	64	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.00	-15	-9	-6	13.9	13.9	0.08	15.9	15.1	0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 92, ORL 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
MIA 88, MIL 67	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
MIN 112, LAC 90	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%