NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	89		Excitement	5.1 [773]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): +22.2%
Boston Celtics	96		Comeback	4.5 [602]		LVP	Sam Cassell (BOS): -7.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Wallace	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	12	57%	0.05	3	-0.03	13	77%	-0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Gibson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	3	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.07
LeBron James	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	0.05	-0.06	0.05	25	56%	0.03	4	-0.09	13	85%	0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22	0.22	0.15	0.07	-0.00	19	65%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.00	19	57%	0.17	3	-0.05	13	85%	0.02
Rajon Rondo	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	15	67%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.00	4	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Eddie House	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	11	46%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	4.5	32.9	19.8	30.5	3.0	47.2	166.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +43.4%

BOS +2.1%

BOS +0.7%

BOS +3.7%

BOS +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BOS	NBA	CLE	BOS	NBA
this game	16.6	15.7	15.4	100.0	107.9	105.7
season	16.4	15.6		104.0	108.0
opponent	15.9	15.2		98.3	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	18.0	15.8	22.6	11.4	16.6
BOS	14.7	17.0	13.4	17.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	24	22	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-11	15	10.6	18.8	-8.22	16.3	15.6	0.72
Anderson Varejao	37	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.21	2	-9	11	15.3	17.6	-2.28	16.6	15.0	1.58
Joe Smith	37	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.17	0	-7	7	15.1	17.7	-2.70	15.6	15.8	-0.29
Daniel Gibson	26	25	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-7	7	15.7	17.0	-1.27	15.7	15.7	-0.07
Wally Szczerbiak	66	67	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-4	1	18.0	12.8	5.19	15.4	16.8	-1.38
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	47	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	2	-11	18.8	14.2	4.62	15.6	15.9	-0.34
Ben Wallace	48	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	4	-15	18.4	14.5	3.88	15.4	16.1	-0.68
Delonte West	78	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.23	-10	3	-13	16.5	17.5	-0.94	15.8	15.5	0.26
LeBron James	82	83	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.32	-8	1	-9	16.7	15.6	1.15	15.8	15.0	0.78

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	75	75	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.19	15	-8	23	15.8	15.3	0.53	16.9	15.1	1.85
Ray Allen	75	74	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.29	11	-4	15	16.0	14.5	1.46	16.2	18.7	-2.53
Paul Pierce	77	78	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.26	9	-2	11	15.7	16.1	-0.41	16.7	16.2	0.51
Rajon Rondo	77	76	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	-1	9	16.0	14.2	1.81	17.1	13.8	3.26
Kendrick Perkins	49	49	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.00	13	-6	19	14.8	16.8	-1.99	19.5	13.1	6.46
Glen Davis	21	19	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	5	-3	19.9	14.5	5.40	15.6	16.9	-1.34
Eddie House	1	1	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	5	-3	0.0	15.9	-15.91	3.0	16.8	-13.78
Leon Powe	9	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	11	-15	15.1	15.8	-0.69	14.3	16.9	-2.55
Sam Cassell	11	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	10	-13	15.5	15.8	-0.31	14.7	16.9	-2.17
James Posey	35	36	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.11	-8	15	-23	14.2	16.7	-2.57	14.7	18.0	-3.30
P.J. Brown	15	16	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.12	-10	17	-27	15.6	15.8	-0.16	15.0	17.0	-1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.33,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 102, IND 115	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.72,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
IND 86, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.45,0.43,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.92,0.97,1,0.97,0.97,1,0.96,1	94.7%
SAS 92, DEN 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.3,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%