NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	102		Excitement	5.4 [726]		MVP	Troy Murphy (IND): +18.3%
Indiana Pacers	115		Comeback	3.1 [877]		LVP	Brook Lopez (NJN): -10.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kris Humphries	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	6	81%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Yi Jianlian	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	12	64%	0.15	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Josh Boone	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	15	48%	0.03	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Chris Douglas-Roberts	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	13	44%	0.03	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	11	65%	0.07	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.01	-0.05	0.06	16	53%	-0.04	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.03

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.05	-0.02	18	66%	0.22	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.01	12	60%	0.13	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.04	6	92%	0.10	2	-0.03	1	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	10	73%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	5	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danny Granger	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.03	20	51%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.5	27.2	15.6	25.3	2.3	26.3	121.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +32.4%

IND +3.9%

NJN -13.3%

IND +28.5%

NJN -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	IND	NBA	NJN	IND	NBA
this game	16.8	14.4	15.3	110.9	123.7	106.0
season	15.9	14.2		98.7	102.2
opponent	15.1	15.0		105.3	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.9	14.8	20.1	19.1	16.8
IND	16.1	12.9	12.0	16.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keyon Dooling	23	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-14	15	18.7	16.1	2.55	15.5	14.0	1.52
Chris Douglas-Roberts	37	35	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-12	11	17.0	16.6	0.36	14.9	14.1	0.83
Josh Boone	22	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-10	7	18.1	16.4	1.78	14.2	14.4	-0.23
Kris Humphries	34	34	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	-6	-1	18.4	15.8	2.54	13.4	14.9	-1.60
Yi Jianlian	64	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-7	1	15.9	18.8	-2.93	15.0	12.9	2.13
Brook Lopez	64	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.09	-10	-3	-7	16.4	17.7	-1.39	14.3	14.5	-0.14
Courtney Lee	71	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	-1	-11	16.7	17.2	-0.53	13.9	15.9	-2.02
Terrence Williams	75	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.15	-11	-2	-9	16.7	17.2	-0.56	14.5	13.6	0.89
Devin Harris	70	69	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.05	-16	3	-19	16.3	18.4	-2.14	14.0	15.5	-1.47

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dahntay Jones	60	60	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.01	19	-6	25	13.6	15.7	-2.02	17.7	15.0	2.73
Earl Watson	62	61	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.10	14	-1	15	14.0	15.1	-1.05	16.0	18.2	-2.18
Roy Hibbert	53	55	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	-2	17	13.1	16.0	-2.96	17.2	16.1	1.13
Troy Murphy	65	66	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	2	9	13.9	15.4	-1.42	16.0	18.8	-2.77
Brandon Rush	49	50	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.14	8	5	3	14.5	14.2	0.35	16.1	17.5	-1.41
Danny Granger	66	65	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	10	-7	14.7	13.5	1.19	16.7	17.0	-0.26
Josh McRoberts	33	31	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	12	-11	14.8	14.1	0.75	16.7	16.8	-0.11
Mike Dunleavy	28	26	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	11	-9	15.4	13.9	1.42	18.8	16.0	2.77
A.J. Price	36	35	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	16	-19	16.1	13.3	2.80	17.5	16.4	1.13
Solomon Jones	13	11	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	18	-23	16.2	14.1	2.08	14.7	17.1	-2.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.72,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 89, BOS 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.33,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	95.4%
CLE 73, DET 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%
BOS 79, TOR 84	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.96,1	94.3%