NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	73		Excitement	5.1 [491]		MVP	Joe Dumars (DET): +19.4%
Detroit Pistons	89		Comeback	2.3 [372]		LVP	Derek Anderson (CLE): -17.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johnny Newman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.07	-0.01	-0.08	11	46%	0.07	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Antonio Lang	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Stack	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Butler	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	10	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Kemp	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.03	0.03	14	59%	-0.01	4	-0.10	13	77%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	6	17%	-0.09	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.18	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	10	46%	-0.02	5	-0.16	4	75%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.05	0.01	14	79%	0.23	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	12	54%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.08	-0.00	0.07	8	69%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Beck	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bison Dele	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	9	59%	0.05	4	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Grant Hill	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	9	46%	0.00	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	9	22%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	29.5	15.4	23.6	2.4	29.2	127.8
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +32.4%

CLE -2.8%

DET +0.7%

DET +20.1%

CLE -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	15.5	17.0	15.8	83.0	100.0	99.6
season	16.3	16.6		97.3	101.4
opponent	16.1	16.2		97.9	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.2	16.4	15.7	15.7	15.5
DET	15.2	15.5	15.6	23.0	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Stack	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-12	8	9.3	15.7	-6.38	19.7	16.9	2.84
Antonio Lang	6	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.08	-3	-13	10	12.3	15.7	-3.40	20.4	16.7	3.68
Cedric Henderson	57	55	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-16	16	14.8	16.7	-1.87	16.0	18.8	-2.80
Mitchell Butler	10	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.12	-7	-9	2	17.3	15.3	2.03	16.8	17.1	-0.26
Bob Sura	41	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-12	8	16.0	15.1	0.84	18.2	16.0	2.24
Vitaly Potapenko	48	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-9	2	16.0	14.8	1.19	17.7	16.3	1.42
Shawn Kemp	71	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-5	-6	15.3	16.5	-1.28	16.1	21.2	-5.06
Danny Ferry	48	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-7	-2	15.6	15.3	0.28	17.2	16.8	0.42
Brevin Knight	51	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.05	-11	-5	-6	15.3	15.8	-0.54	16.1	18.4	-2.32
Derek Anderson	74	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	-6	-4	15.2	17.3	-2.12	17.1	16.9	0.20
Johnny Newman	31	32	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.16	-14	-2	-12	17.5	14.4	3.01	18.6	16.2	2.44

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	69	69	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	6	4	16.8	18.0	-1.25	15.3	16.3	-1.04
Jerome Williams	30	31	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.04	13	3	10	19.3	15.9	3.47	17.4	14.5	2.91
Grant Hill	62	62	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.02	13	3	10	15.8	20.0	-4.20	15.4	15.8	-0.49
Don Reid	49	48	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.07	15	1	14	16.9	17.2	-0.30	15.1	16.0	-0.96
Joe Dumars	57	55	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.00	12	4	8	16.7	17.6	-0.83	15.2	15.9	-0.70
Jerry Stackhouse	47	47	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	9	-2	18.6	15.3	3.22	15.9	15.1	0.75
Jud Buechler	38	37	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.05	7	9	-2	19.4	15.3	4.07	16.0	15.1	0.86
Eric Montross	11	13	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.07	5	11	-6	14.6	17.4	-2.74	16.7	15.3	1.40
Loy Vaught	25	24	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	15	-14	14.2	18.2	-4.00	14.5	15.9	-1.43
Corey Beck	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	13	-10	8.0	17.1	-9.14	7.0	15.6	-8.60
Bison Dele	56	53	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	22	-28	17.0	17.0	0.01	15.2	15.9	-0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 79, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.84,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
TOR 73, MIA 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.69,0.73,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
SAS 83, UTA 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%