NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	86		Excitement	4.9 [864]		MVP	Mike James (MIL): +6.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	95		Comeback	4.1 [684]		LVP	Anthony Johnson (IND): -17.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Foster	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	5	79%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
James Jones	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Edwards	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	10	52%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Marcus Haislip	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.03	11	54%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
David Harrison	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	53%	0.00	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.02
Reggie Miller	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	0.03	16	45%	-0.08	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Anthony Johnson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	12	32%	-0.10	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	12	59%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	7	62%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	6	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Redd	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	15	57%	0.04	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	7	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.16	0.01	-0.08	12	37%	-0.02	4	-0.06	8	87%	0.03
Mo Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	10	46%	-0.05	4	-0.09	8	87%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.0	29.2	16.3	28.3	1.8	36.4	140.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +17.5%

MIL +10.4%

MIL +11.4%

MIL +7.2%

MIL +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIL	NBA	IND	MIL	NBA
this game	15.4	16.6	15.5	94.5	106.7	104.0
season	16.8	16.0		101.9	104.4
opponent	15.0	15.5		107.4	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.4	15.7	16.9	14.6	15.4
MIL	16.3	16.4	16.6	17.3	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Edwards	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-9	9	7.0	15.5	-8.48	8.0	16.7	-8.73
Eddie Gill	29	28	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	14.8	15.7	-0.92	15.2	17.3	-2.01
Marcus Haislip	7	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-10	11	14.9	15.4	-0.57	21.9	16.2	5.67
Tremaine Fowlkes	20	18	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-11	13	15.1	15.5	-0.36	18.4	16.2	2.21
James Jones	48	46	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-4	-1	14.7	16.1	-1.39	16.7	16.5	0.23
Fred Jones	65	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-8	7	15.5	15.2	0.32	16.3	17.5	-1.19
Austin Croshere	58	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-6	3	15.3	15.6	-0.30	16.1	17.7	-1.66
Jeff Foster	59	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	-2	-5	14.9	16.2	-1.29	16.0	17.8	-1.79
David Harrison	44	44	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.19	-7	-2	-5	16.8	14.0	2.82	17.9	15.4	2.53
Anthony Johnson	62	61	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	2	-13	15.7	14.8	0.92	17.3	15.2	2.01
Reggie Miller	62	61	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.10	-16	7	-23	15.6	15.0	0.62	16.1	17.7	-1.53

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	53	55	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.11	16	-7	23	18.0	14.6	3.34	15.7	15.0	0.68
Dan Gadzuric	37	40	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.16	14	-5	19	18.3	15.4	2.85	16.2	14.7	1.54
Michael Redd	81	82	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	-2	13	16.1	21.9	-5.76	15.3	16.1	-0.81
Desmond Mason	74	76	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.19	7	2	5	16.7	16.4	0.28	14.8	18.2	-3.37
Mike James	53	53	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.15	5	4	1	16.4	17.0	-0.67	16.1	14.4	1.70
Mo Williams	57	59	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.02	9	0	9	15.8	18.2	-2.43	14.3	17.3	-2.97
Marcus Fizer	9	9	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	10	-11	16.9	16.6	0.29	18.0	15.1	2.90
Kendall Gill	39	40	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.17	-5	14	-19	16.1	17.1	-0.98	15.4	15.4	0.07
Zaza Pachulia	42	41	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.13	-11	20	-31	16.4	16.9	-0.52	15.3	15.4	-0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.45,0.43,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.92,0.97,1,0.97,0.97,1,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 89, BOS 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.33,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	94.7%
NOH 93, NYK 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.72,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
SAC 94, MIN 114	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.75,0.73,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%