NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	93		Excitement	5.2 [778]		MVP	Chris Duhon (NYK): +15.2%
New York Knicks	103		Comeback	3.7 [152]		LVP	Sean Marks (NOH): -11.0%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.13	-0.03	0.06	19	64%	0.13	2	-0.08	7	100%	0.03
Morris Peterson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	6	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	18	52%	-0.00	3	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Julian Wright	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	14	37%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
James Posey	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	8	44%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	11	23%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Duhon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.07	0.02	7	88%	0.18	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.02	15	68%	0.16	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
David Lee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.01	15	60%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	4	70%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	13	52%	0.04	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.02
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	12	42%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	26.3	16.8	24.7	0.8	29.2	124.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +58.2%

NYK +3.3%

NOH -6.5%

NOH -1.7%

NOH -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	NYK	NBA	NOH	NYK	NBA
this game	16.7	13.6	15.5	97.9	108.4	106.4
season	16.6	13.8		105.9	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.6		109.1	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.1	17.9	18.4	14.5	16.7
NYK	13.2	14.2	11.6	15.5	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	14	15	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.04	7	-17	24	15.9	16.8	-0.98	16.1	13.1	2.98
Hilton Armstrong	34	35	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.04	6	-16	22	16.5	16.8	-0.30	13.5	13.7	-0.17
Morris Peterson	38	39	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.18	9	-19	28	15.0	17.8	-2.78	15.7	12.2	3.56
Sean Marks	21	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-5	0	19.0	16.1	2.90	12.2	14.0	-1.78
James Posey	53	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.14	-2	-8	6	17.1	16.2	0.90	14.2	13.0	1.22
Julian Wright	69	70	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.13	-14	4	-18	16.5	17.2	-0.69	13.1	15.0	-1.93
Rasual Butler	81	80	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.16	-17	7	-24	16.8	15.9	0.98	13.1	16.1	-2.98
Chris Paul	81	80	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.16	-17	7	-24	16.8	15.9	0.98	13.1	16.1	-2.98
David West	84	83	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.19	-17	7	-24	16.7	16.5	0.27	13.6	14.0	-0.43

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Duhon	68	67	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.08	17	-7	24	13.4	14.2	-0.84	16.5	17.2	-0.79
Wilson Chandler	78	77	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	1	8	13.5	14.0	-0.46	16.8	16.3	0.51
Al Harrington	73	70	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	0	10	13.5	14.0	-0.49	16.8	16.4	0.45
Quentin Richardson	38	39	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	6	-2	14.3	13.2	1.16	16.7	16.7	-0.00
David Lee	67	67	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	3	4	13.2	14.6	-1.35	16.7	16.6	0.07
Nate Robinson	37	39	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	7	-4	13.7	13.6	0.09	16.7	16.7	-0.00
Larry Hughes	69	68	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.10	5	5	0	13.6	13.7	-0.05	16.7	16.7	-0.06
Jared Jeffries	31	34	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	13	-16	14.2	13.3	0.90	16.6	16.8	-0.17
Chris Wilcox	14	14	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	12	-14	14.4	13.5	0.95	16.9	16.7	0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.72,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 86, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.45,0.43,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.92,0.97,1,0.97,0.97,1,0.96,1	94.1%
GSW 90, ORL 110	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.29,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.22,0.25,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.81,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%
BOS 111, ORL 119	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.95,0.98,1	93.4%