NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	83		Excitement	3.3 [1139]		MVP	Bostjan Nachbar (NJN): +12.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	72		Comeback	1.4 [353]		LVP	Larry Hughes (CLE): -20.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bostjan Nachbar	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.02	-0.04	9	65%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	11	62%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mikki Moore	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.04	-0.03	12	54%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Wright	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	-0.08	-0.01	-0.10	14	59%	0.13	8	-0.12	6	17%	-0.00
Eddie House	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	5	30%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	2	25%	0.00	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.04
Jason Collins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	11	46%	0.02	3	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Marcus Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	8	80%	0.13	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.04	7	50%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	7	16%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	8	44%	0.01	4	-0.08	2	0%	-0.04
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	14	51%	0.02	5	-0.10	11	91%	0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.21	-0.03	-0.04	17	20%	-0.18	3	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	3.6	30.2	18.7	28.7	3.7	37.3	148.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +53.3%

CLE -1.5%

CLE -4.5%

NJN +4.3%

CLE -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CLE	NBA	NJN	CLE	NBA
this game	16.6	16.0	15.4	94.3	80.9	104.5
season	15.4	16.0		103.1	103.2
opponent	15.6	15.7		99.6	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.6	15.9	15.3	19.8	16.6
CLE	17.8	15.4	16.8	13.9	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	78	80	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.13	15	-4	19	16.8	14.7	2.13	16.0	15.3	0.69
Jason Kidd	75	77	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.04	20	-9	29	16.6	16.3	0.33	16.8	10.3	6.50
Mikki Moore	60	60	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.16	10	1	9	16.8	16.0	0.81	17.1	13.5	3.67
Richard Jefferson	79	79	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	0	11	16.7	15.4	1.28	16.5	11.9	4.57
Bostjan Nachbar	42	42	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	5	1	16.0	17.1	-1.08	16.2	15.7	0.49
Jason Collins	45	45	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	11	-11	16.7	16.5	0.25	16.0	15.9	0.14
Eddie House	15	15	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	9	-7	16.7	16.6	0.09	15.3	16.1	-0.83
Antoine Wright	22	22	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	11	-11	14.8	17.2	-2.36	11.8	17.3	-5.56
Josh Boone	15	15	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	11	-11	16.5	16.6	-0.07	13.9	16.4	-2.51
Marcus Williams	9	10	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.14	-9	20	-29	17.6	16.5	1.07	9.4	16.8	-7.38

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	39	37	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.13	7	-18	25	14.1	17.4	-3.34	16.8	16.4	0.38
Daniel Gibson	37	35	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.15	6	-17	23	12.8	18.2	-5.43	16.4	16.7	-0.27
Donyell Marshall	15	15	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-15	19	14.6	16.2	-1.63	14.2	17.1	-2.88
Anderson Varejao	47	44	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.20	5	-16	21	13.9	18.3	-4.37	16.2	17.0	-0.77
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	54	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-1	-9	17.3	13.9	3.36	17.5	15.0	2.55
Sasha Pavlovic	53	53	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.09	-14	3	-17	16.5	15.2	1.23	16.5	16.8	-0.30
Larry Hughes	71	70	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.04	-17	6	-23	16.7	12.8	3.91	16.5	16.8	-0.30
LeBron James	77	77	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.13	-15	4	-19	16.6	11.5	5.15	17.0	13.9	3.06
Drew Gooden	52	53	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	0.02	-21	10	-31	17.9	13.2	4.64	16.2	17.2	-0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.38,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 109, DAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
MIA 105, ORL 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.31,0.33,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
SEA 103, MIN 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.16,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%