NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	103		Excitement	3.8 [1075]		MVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): +14.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	92		Comeback	1.2 [518]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -13.4%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.01	-0.06	11	77%	0.17	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.03	0.01	18	67%	0.15	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.01	0.03	-0.07	11	46%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Danny Fortson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	3	83%	0.07	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.03
Luke Ridnour	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	6	64%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Ray Allen	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	19	52%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.02
Damien Wilkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	0.00	0.06	6	108%	0.08	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	14	50%	0.09	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	11	62%	0.06	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	6	25%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.03	5	71%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	9	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.02	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.16	-0.02	-0.04	16	40%	-0.05	4	-0.09	8	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	3.0	27.1	15.7	26.1	1.7	28.2	128.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +23.5%

SEA +9.6%

MIN -3.5%

SEA +18.9%

SEA +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	MIN	NBA	SEA	MIN	NBA
this game	17.4	15.9	15.5	119.8	105.7	104.0
season	16.5	15.8		109.5	106.2
opponent	15.9	15.6		104.6	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.4	15.1	15.3	23.4	17.4
MIN	17.1	16.8	16.7	12.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	74	75	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.10	14	-3	17	17.9	14.3	3.61	16.0	14.9	1.10
Rashard Lewis	71	74	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	0	11	18.0	15.0	2.96	15.8	16.4	-0.61
Vladimir Radmanovic	59	60	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	5	1	17.4	17.4	-0.00	15.7	16.2	-0.52
Antonio Daniels	57	57	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.26	4	7	-3	17.5	17.2	0.30	15.2	17.2	-1.99
Reggie Evans	38	40	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.09	13	-2	15	16.4	18.3	-1.88	17.8	14.2	3.68
Danny Fortson	45	44	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.27	-2	13	-15	17.0	17.9	-0.83	15.4	16.4	-1.01
Luke Ridnour	43	44	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	7	-3	17.4	17.5	-0.05	16.1	15.6	0.51
Jerome James	23	23	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.07	6	5	1	17.4	17.4	-0.01	16.8	15.5	1.25
Nick Collison	20	18	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	12	-13	16.4	17.8	-1.36	13.3	16.5	-3.19

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	38	38	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.30	11	-22	33	14.9	16.6	-1.72	18.4	16.7	1.75
Ervin Johnson	17	17	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-8	5	19.1	15.1	4.05	18.8	17.1	1.72
Mark Madsen	26	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-7	3	15.5	16.0	-0.52	15.7	18.1	-2.32
Michael Olowokandi	16	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-7	3	15.6	15.9	-0.37	13.9	18.3	-4.44
Troy Hudson	54	54	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.18	2	-13	15	15.4	16.5	-1.10	17.5	17.4	0.11
Eddie Griffin	24	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-7	3	18.0	15.0	3.01	15.0	18.3	-3.33
Trenton Hassell	44	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.19	-1	-10	9	13.7	18.1	-4.46	18.8	16.2	2.58
Sam Cassell	33	32	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.00	-13	2	-15	16.5	15.4	1.10	17.4	17.5	-0.11
Wally Szczerbiak	58	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	-5	-1	15.8	16.0	-0.26	19.2	13.8	5.37
Kevin Garnett	68	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.15	-10	-1	-9	15.6	16.8	-1.19	17.7	16.4	1.31
Latrell Sprewell	57	56	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.13	-23	12	-35	17.0	13.8	3.20	16.0	20.1	-4.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.16,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 111, MEM 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.27,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
SAS 105, MEM 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
OKC 125, MEM 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%