NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	96		Excitement	5.2 [790]		MVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): +21.0%
Toronto Raptors	98		Comeback	1.0 [1037]		LVP	Bostjan Nachbar (NJN): -26.6%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2	0.16	0.06	0.02	14	74%	0.22	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.17	0.07	0.07	-0.02	22	56%	0.21	3	-0.04	10	60%	-0.03
Josh Boone	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	1	89%	0.03	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Mikki Moore	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	9	33%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antoine Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hassan Adams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	9	61%	0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.27	-0.07	-0.18	0.01	9	39%	-0.20	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.11	0.08	-0.02	8	85%	0.23	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.05
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.00	0.02	9	78%	0.12	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.03	0.02	12	56%	0.08	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0.07	0.07	-0.04	0.08	-0.04	11	39%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.04
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.03	-0.02	20	60%	0.13	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
T.J. Ford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	37%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.5	3.6	38.1	19.4	28.6	3.8	41.2	165.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +8.7%

TOR +25.5%

TOR +2.5%

TOR +8.9%

TOR +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	TOR	NBA	NJN	TOR	NBA
this game	15.9	17.1	15.4	110.3	111.4	104.5
season	15.4	15.2		103.1	104.7
opponent	15.4	15.7		104.1	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.6	15.4	16.1	14.3	15.9
TOR	15.1	15.9	19.9	17.6	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Boone	17	17	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.26	11	-13	24	13.9	16.3	-2.45	16.5	17.2	-0.65
Hassan Adams	2	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.05	-2	0	-2	11.5	16.0	-4.45	5.0	17.2	-12.20
Marcus Williams	14	13	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.14	4	-6	10	16.0	15.8	0.18	13.5	17.7	-4.22
Bostjan Nachbar	52	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.27	3	-5	8	15.3	16.7	-1.35	15.7	19.1	-3.32
Jason Collins	31	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	2	-6	16.0	15.7	0.28	17.8	16.6	1.22
Antoine Wright	36	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-1	0	16.1	15.6	0.49	16.3	17.5	-1.19
Vince Carter	82	82	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.42	-1	-1	0	15.6	20.4	-4.83	17.1	16.7	0.42
Mikki Moore	56	57	-0.47	-0.04	-0.43	-0.17	-10	8	-18	16.6	14.4	2.22	17.9	15.5	2.48
Richard Jefferson	72	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.33	-5	3	-8	15.9	15.5	0.46	17.9	12.6	5.33
Jason Kidd	73	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.35	-5	3	-8	16.2	14.1	2.12	17.4	15.3	2.05

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrea Bargnani	75	76	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.27	14	-12	26	16.6	19.5	-2.91	15.8	16.2	-0.38
Morris Peterson	80	80	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.25	10	-8	18	17.7	11.0	6.66	16.1	12.6	3.57
Anthony Parker	84	81	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.38	4	-2	6	17.4	10.7	6.61	16.0	13.8	2.17
Joey Graham	46	43	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.35	1	1	0	17.4	16.7	0.75	16.4	15.3	1.08
Chris Bosh	44	44	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.41	-9	11	-20	17.6	16.5	1.07	15.9	15.8	0.03
Jose Calderon	66	67	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.29	-5	7	-12	18.5	12.6	5.89	16.3	14.4	1.88
T.J. Ford	14	14	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.10	8	-6	14	13.8	17.7	-3.89	15.9	15.8	0.09
Luke Jackson	5	4	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	-1	4	12.0	17.4	-5.36	12.7	16.0	-3.25
Darrick Martin	7	5	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	3	-4	12.1	17.5	-5.34	10.2	16.2	-6.00
Juan Dixon	10	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.21	-8	10	-18	9.3	18.1	-8.75	13.4	16.2	-2.82
Kris Humphries	6	6	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	5	-8	14.5	17.2	-2.74	15.3	15.9	-0.56
Rasho Nesterovic	3	3	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	6	-10	23.7	16.8	6.84	11.7	16.0	-4.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.95,0.92,0.84,0.88,0.95,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.95,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 107, MIL 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.83,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.74,0.68,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.86,0.81,0.86,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.95,0.96,1	94.8%
LAC 91, POR 100	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.89,0.97,0.92,1	94.8%
VAN 87, SEA 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.71,0.91,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	94.8%