NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	87		Excitement	4.4 [897]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +11.3%
Seattle SuperSonics	107		Comeback	1.0 [1246]		LVP	Otis Thorpe (VAN): -19.9%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Daniels	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	11	59%	0.09	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	7	57%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Blue Edwards	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	9	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Sam Mack	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	18	54%	-0.00	3	-0.05	10	70%	-0.03
Pete Chilcutt	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	3	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	7	47%	-0.02	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	6	36%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Otis Thorpe	-0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.18	-0.03	-0.01	6	44%	-0.06	7	-0.14	6	67%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.04	0.02	22	62%	0.16	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.00	0.05	6	92%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	17	62%	0.11	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	42%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	9	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	0.00	-0.04	9	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	14	50%	0.01	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.8	26.1	15.6	26.2	1.6	32.3	130.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +24.5%

SEA +0.1%

SEA +2.8%

SEA +20.3%

SEA +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	SEA	NBA	VAN	SEA	NBA
this game	14.6	13.7	15.6	85.3	105.9	102.5
season	15.1	15.3		101.3	109.3
opponent	16.2	15.3		102.3	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	16.0	13.5	13.8	15.1	14.6
SEA	10.6	14.7	16.3	13.7	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pete Chilcutt	27	26	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.16	7	-27	34	12.8	15.3	-2.48	13.4	13.8	-0.42
Lee Mayberry	35	33	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.12	-6	-14	8	13.4	15.3	-1.84	12.8	14.2	-1.31
Blue Edwards	56	56	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.13	0	-20	20	13.7	15.7	-1.97	14.4	12.9	1.48
George Lynch	39	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-16	12	14.5	14.7	-0.20	14.3	13.4	0.89
Sam Mack	46	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.21	-20	0	-20	15.7	13.7	1.97	12.9	14.4	-1.48
Bryant Reeves	79	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	-8	-4	15.2	12.8	2.39	14.0	12.8	1.23
Otis Thorpe	80	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.36	-27	7	-34	14.6	14.6	0.06	13.4	14.8	-1.36
Antonio Daniels	67	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.03	-14	-6	-8	15.3	13.4	1.84	14.2	12.8	1.31
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	81	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.21	-24	4	-28	14.8	14.1	0.62	13.6	14.3	-0.70

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	88	91	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.22	26	-6	32	13.4	15.8	-2.34	15.0	11.7	3.26
Vin Baker	84	83	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.12	22	-2	24	14.2	11.6	2.58	15.0	13.3	1.69
Detlef Schrempf	78	79	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.18	21	-1	22	13.2	15.6	-2.43	14.7	14.4	0.32
Hersey Hawkins	61	61	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.27	20	0	20	12.6	15.5	-2.88	15.7	13.1	2.57
Jim McIlvaine	54	56	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.23	16	4	12	12.9	14.6	-1.69	16.4	12.5	3.93
Dale Ellis	41	42	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.18	0	20	-20	15.1	12.8	2.30	12.8	15.9	-3.15
Sam Perkins	33	33	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	22	-24	16.0	12.6	3.41	13.2	15.3	-2.06
Aaron Williams	22	23	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.05	6	14	-8	12.0	14.2	-2.16	14.3	14.7	-0.49
Jerome Kersey	31	31	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.13	-3	23	-26	14.5	13.4	1.13	12.6	15.5	-2.86
Greg Anthony	13	11	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.14	-6	26	-32	15.8	13.4	2.34	11.7	15.0	-3.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.71,0.91,0.95,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 96, DEN 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.95,1,1,0.99,1,1	94.8%
NJN 96, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.95,0.92,0.84,0.88,0.95,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.95,0.98,0.98,1	94.8%
MIL 92, NJN 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%