NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	92		Excitement	3.9 [1004]		MVP	Kendall Gill (NJN): +7.5%
New Jersey Nets	103		Comeback	1.0 [1116]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -8.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ervin Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.05	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Litterial Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Armen Gilliam	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Lang	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	3	60%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	17	62%	0.06	8	-0.13	5	80%	-0.02
Michael Curry	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	0.00	0.02	10	56%	-0.01	3	-0.05	5	40%	-0.02
Glenn Robinson	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	26	54%	0.05	7	-0.13	4	100%	0.03

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendall Gill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.02	15	55%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	-0.00	-0.04	13	59%	0.08	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	9	67%	0.08	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	5	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	15	46%	-0.02	1	-0.00	9	89%	0.02
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	11	58%	0.02	3	-0.05	9	89%	0.01
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	-0.01	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.5	29.0	14.8	25.4	2.3	30.3	126.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +9.6%

NJN +5.6%

MIL -9.8%

NJN +36.2%

NJN +8.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NJN	NBA	MIL	NJN	NBA
this game	15.2	15.4	15.6	98.9	108.4	102.5
season	16.0	15.6		101.1	104.9
opponent	15.2	15.1		103.9	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.5	12.4	18.8	14.9	15.2
NJN	11.2	15.3	17.2	19.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Lang	36	38	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.30	11	-22	33	14.6	15.6	-0.99	16.1	15.0	1.14
Litterial Green	25	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-9	7	14.0	15.6	-1.61	15.0	15.6	-0.63
Armen Gilliam	13	12	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-6	1	15.2	15.2	0.02	17.4	15.1	2.28
Elliot Perry	25	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-4	-3	15.4	15.1	0.25	15.4	15.4	-0.03
Michael Curry	51	54	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	-9	7	16.0	14.3	1.69	15.7	15.0	0.65
Tyrone Hill	76	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	-1	-9	16.1	11.5	4.58	15.6	14.5	1.09
Glenn Robinson	87	89	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	1	-13	15.1	17.3	-2.26	15.5	13.7	1.87
Ray Allen	91	92	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.19	-10	-1	-9	15.2	16.0	-0.80	15.3	20.0	-4.73
Ervin Johnson	61	62	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.04	-18	7	-25	14.5	16.5	-2.01	14.4	17.4	-3.02

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jayson Williams	81	80	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.08	14	-3	17	15.5	14.7	0.83	15.6	13.1	2.49
Kendall Gill	79	77	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	-4	19	14.5	19.9	-5.43	15.6	13.4	2.15
Kerry Kittles	72	73	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	0	11	14.6	17.9	-3.29	15.0	16.0	-1.06
Sam Cassell	75	73	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.10	7	4	3	14.7	18.1	-3.39	14.7	17.1	-2.47
Keith Van Horn	68	69	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	7	-3	15.1	16.1	-0.96	15.3	15.1	0.18
Chris Gatling	32	28	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.04	7	4	3	16.0	15.1	0.83	14.2	15.7	-1.48
Sherman Douglas	30	29	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	12	-13	17.3	14.6	2.70	16.2	14.7	1.49
Lucious Harris	13	11	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.02	5	6	-1	19.7	14.7	4.95	17.5	14.9	2.64
David Benoit	16	16	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	15	-19	19.9	14.5	5.43	13.4	15.6	-2.15
Michael Cage	9	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.06	-3	14	-17	14.4	15.5	-1.08	15.0	15.2	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 83, CLE 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
MIL 90, NJN 107	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
CHH 89, CLE 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%