NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	96		Excitement	4.7 [871]		MVP	Nene (DEN): +12.2%
Denver Nuggets	106		Comeback	1.0 [1190]		LVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): -19.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	14	68%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Paul Grant	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	69%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Raul Lopez	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.02	-0.02	7	21%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	12	54%	0.02	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Carlos Arroyo	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	14	50%	0.01	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	9	42%	-0.04	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.14	-0.04	0.01	14	34%	-0.15	2	-0.05	7	86%	-0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nene	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.03	0.03	10	86%	0.16	2	-0.03	9	78%	-0.00
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	4	75%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	10	40%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.02	10	64%	0.03	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.01
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Voshon Lenard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	9	41%	-0.00	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	22	53%	0.06	4	-0.10	7	71%	-0.01
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	8	25%	-0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.3	30.6	15.7	26.2	2.4	34.2	132.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +36.4%

DEN +6.5%

UTA -2.4%

DEN +4.3%

DEN +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DEN	NBA	UTA	DEN	NBA
this game	16.4	14.4	15.7	103.2	112.8	100.5
season	17.2	14.9		99.4	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.2		101.1	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.1	17.8	13.5	16.1	16.4
DEN	11.4	12.2	18.6	15.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Ruffin	21	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-7	4	17.3	16.1	1.15	16.6	13.8	2.84
Paul Grant	14	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-10	10	15.5	16.6	-1.06	14.2	14.4	-0.24
Sasha Pavlovic	28	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-7	4	16.7	16.2	0.50	12.1	15.5	-3.35
Raul Lopez	32	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-8	6	18.9	15.1	3.82	13.7	14.8	-1.10
Raja Bell	42	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.17	-2	-8	6	18.0	15.0	3.01	13.4	15.2	-1.77
DeShawn Stevenson	59	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-4	-2	15.2	18.4	-3.22	15.1	13.1	1.99
Jarron Collins	53	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	-6	2	15.6	17.4	-1.85	14.5	14.3	0.17
Carlos Arroyo	61	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-2	-6	15.1	18.9	-3.82	14.8	13.7	1.10
Greg Ostertag	76	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-5	0	16.1	17.8	-1.74	14.8	12.8	2.02
Andrei Kirilenko	79	81	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.07	-17	7	-24	17.0	12.8	4.25	14.3	15.2	-0.95

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	65	64	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.08	15	-5	20	14.6	14.0	0.65	16.8	15.4	1.38
Andre Miller	69	68	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	-6	22	14.8	13.3	1.49	16.4	16.3	0.16
Nene	77	74	0.47	0.04	0.43	0.14	11	-1	12	14.8	12.9	1.87	16.5	15.9	0.57
Carmelo Anthony	80	78	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.24	6	4	2	14.8	12.4	2.42	16.0	18.4	-2.39
Voshon Lenard	66	64	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.19	6	4	2	15.1	12.7	2.37	17.0	15.2	1.78
Rodney White	18	20	0.10	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	7	-4	12.8	14.8	-1.96	16.3	16.4	-0.12
Earl Boykins	37	36	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.16	-3	13	-16	13.2	15.2	-2.02	15.5	17.0	-1.51
Ryan Bowen	12	13	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.00	2	8	-6	12.0	14.8	-2.77	18.5	16.1	2.40
Francisco Elson	18	19	0.04	0.47	-0.43	0.06	-1	11	-12	13.4	14.7	-1.27	15.9	16.5	-0.57
Chris Andersen	28	29	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.13	-5	15	-20	13.7	14.7	-1.05	15.4	16.8	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.95,1,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 92, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.97,1,0.99,1,1	95.6%
NYK 79, MIA 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.6%
MIA 89, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.98,1	95.5%