NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	79		Excitement	3.4 [1073]		MVP	Tim Hardaway (MIA): +9.4%
Miami Heat	94		Comeback	1.0 [874]		LVP	Allan Houston (NYK): -15.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Dudley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Bowie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	14	64%	0.03	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Buck Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	4	62%	0.00	3	-0.03	8	100%	0.03
Charlie Ward	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	8	45%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Chris Mills	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	7	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Starks	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	0.04	12	52%	-0.02	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Allan Houston	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.02	-0.02	18	40%	-0.11	4	-0.04	7	100%	0.02

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	-0.00	0.01	21	68%	0.14	4	-0.04	8	100%	0.03
Eric Murdock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	12	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	8	75%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	10	55%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mark Strickland	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	8	56%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Keith Askins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	11	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	8	19%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	2.4	33.4	17.6	30.2	2.7	35.4	149.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +33.2%

NYK -0.6%

NYK -5.7%

MIA +15.5%

MIA +7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIA	NBA	NYK	MIA	NBA
this game	15.1	18.1	15.6	91.9	108.0	102.5
season	15.7	15.8		100.4	104.7
opponent	16.2	16.3		99.8	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.3	15.5	14.0	15.9	15.1
MIA	15.4	18.8	19.7	19.1	18.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Dudley	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-16	17	18.5	15.1	3.44	16.5	18.2	-1.68
Anthony Bowie	4	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	-13	11	14.7	15.2	-0.41	14.6	18.4	-3.75
Buck Williams	13	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.03	-2	-13	11	16.3	14.9	1.38	19.0	18.0	1.00
Chris Mills	49	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.23	3	-18	21	15.2	15.0	0.20	17.8	18.7	-0.90
Chris Childs	34	33	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-8	1	15.1	15.2	-0.13	18.3	18.0	0.27
Charlie Ward	65	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-6	-3	15.2	15.0	0.12	18.6	16.9	1.64
John Starks	52	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-6	-3	15.2	15.0	0.18	19.6	16.0	3.62
Charles Oakley	71	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.00	-14	-1	-13	14.8	16.6	-1.77	18.0	18.6	-0.60
Allan Houston	71	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.00	-15	0	-15	15.1	15.5	-0.48	17.7	20.4	-2.64
Larry Johnson	69	68	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.12	-21	6	-27	15.1	15.1	0.03	17.5	20.4	-2.85

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway	76	76	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.03	17	-2	19	18.2	17.9	0.26	14.6	18.9	-4.26
P.J. Brown	78	77	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	1	13	17.9	20.3	-2.45	15.1	15.8	-0.71
Dan Majerle	70	69	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.00	15	0	15	17.8	19.5	-1.66	15.1	15.4	-0.27
Alonzo Mourning	38	39	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.28	23	-8	31	17.3	18.8	-1.41	16.4	14.1	2.33
Eric Murdock	53	52	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.00	12	3	9	19.5	16.1	3.36	15.2	15.1	0.13
Voshon Lenard	58	59	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	14	-13	17.9	18.7	-0.83	15.1	15.2	-0.07
Jamal Mashburn	44	42	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.30	-7	22	-29	17.7	18.6	-0.83	14.7	15.6	-0.88
Keith Askins	16	15	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	15	-15	20.5	17.6	2.89	16.3	14.9	1.45
Mark Strickland	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	16.5	18.2	-1.68	12.0	15.2	-3.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 91, MIN 105	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.84,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.2%
CHH 89, CLE 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
MIN 75, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%