NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	91		Excitement	3.3 [1080]		MVP	Terrell Brandon (MIN): +17.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Comeback	1.0 [1217]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NJN): -12.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	-0.01	0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	3	67%	0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	16	56%	-0.01	1	-0.01	11	91%	0.00
Soumaila Samake	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lucious Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	9	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Doug Overton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.04	3	-0.06	6	83%	-0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	0.00	-0.03	31	46%	-0.02	7	-0.10	7	71%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.01	-0.04	25	65%	0.21	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	90%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	10	40%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Jacobson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	16	43%	0.00	1	-0.01	10	60%	-0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.05	13	64%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	-0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	6	44%	-0.01	3	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.7	25.2	15.4	30.5	1.5	23.5	123.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +41.4%

NJN -1.1%

MIN +4.9%

MIN +3.6%

MIN +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIN	NBA	NJN	MIN	NBA
this game	16.1	14.7	15.5	96.8	112.9	100.9
season	15.5	15.0		97.8	102.9
opponent	15.9	15.1		101.7	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.0	16.2	14.6	16.6	16.1
MIN	11.1	15.1	14.2	19.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Soumaila Samake	14	13	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.24	10	-24	34	14.4	16.4	-2.03	15.2	14.6	0.52
Doug Overton	10	11	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-13	12	14.5	16.3	-1.77	16.4	14.5	1.88
Vladimir Stepania	28	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	-9	4	15.0	16.5	-1.49	14.3	14.9	-0.56
Lucious Harris	42	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-9	4	16.0	16.1	-0.11	16.6	13.2	3.44
Stephen Jackson	52	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-10	6	15.8	16.4	-0.53	13.4	16.4	-2.96
Aaron Williams	79	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-11	8	15.5	19.0	-3.47	15.4	10.9	4.58
Keith Van Horn	24	23	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.18	-17	3	-20	18.5	15.3	3.19	11.5	15.8	-4.24
Evan Eschmeyer	51	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	3	-20	17.0	15.0	2.09	14.9	14.5	0.34
Johnny Newman	85	84	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.07	-13	-1	-12	16.2	15.2	0.95	14.6	16.1	-1.55
Stephon Marbury	85	84	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.06	-15	1	-16	16.3	14.4	1.81	14.7	15.1	-0.44

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	84	84	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.07	14	0	14	14.7	15.1	-0.44	16.2	14.7	1.55
Terrell Brandon	89	89	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	1	12	14.8	13.2	1.53	16.0	17.2	-1.18
Wally Szczerbiak	74	74	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	6	2	14.9	14.1	0.76	16.2	15.6	0.62
Chauncey Billups	60	61	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	4	6	15.6	13.1	2.51	16.3	15.7	0.64
LaPhonso Ellis	47	47	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.07	7	7	0	16.0	13.4	2.52	16.6	15.6	0.94
Reggie Slater	46	47	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	7	0	13.4	16.0	-2.52	15.6	16.6	-0.94
Felipe Lopez	35	36	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	9	-4	13.3	15.6	-2.24	16.3	16.0	0.31
Sam Mitchell	19	20	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	8	-2	14.1	14.9	-0.76	15.6	16.2	-0.62
Rasho Nesterovic	9	10	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	14	-14	15.1	14.7	0.44	14.7	16.2	-1.55
Sam Jacobson	2	2	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	14	-14	9.5	14.8	-5.32	8.5	16.2	-7.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.84,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 102, ATL 118	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
MIN 75, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
NYK 79, MIA 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.2%