NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	91		Excitement	5.1 [834]		MVP	Rasual Butler (LAC): +12.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	100		Comeback	1.0 [1199]		LVP	Eric Bledsoe (LAC): -19.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.08	-0.01	7	57%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	14	48%	0.08	1	-0.02	16	44%	-0.10
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.01	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	12	60%	0.05	3	-0.05	16	81%	0.02
Ryan Gomes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0	0.04	-0.04	-0.00	5	70%	0.07	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	12	42%	-0.01	2	-0.03	9	56%	-0.04
DeAndre Jordan	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	1	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.13	-0.08	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	-0.01	19	60%	0.17	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.06	-0.03	6	62%	0.13	3	-0.06	9	100%	0.06
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.03	3	133%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	6	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	7	67%	0.09	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Brandon Roy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	13	41%	0.08	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	0	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.03
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	12	46%	0.02	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.13	0.00	-0.08	10	18%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	2.5	33.2	14.7	37.6	2.5	41.5	161.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +15.3%

POR +19.0%

POR +3.1%

POR +6.7%

POR +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	POR	NBA	LAC	POR	NBA
this game	14.2	17.8	15.5	101.1	111.1	105.7
season	15.4	16.5		104.4	106.7
opponent	15.7	15.3		105.6	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.8	13.9	13.6	14.6	14.2
POR	18.8	16.1	19.1	17.3	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	18	17	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.02	2	-11	13	16.0	13.8	2.24	24.4	16.2	8.17
Brian Cook	18	17	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-10	11	16.4	13.7	2.72	17.4	17.9	-0.54
Jarron Collins	4	3	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.12	-7	-2	-5	7.0	14.5	-7.55	0.7	18.4	-17.71
Chris Kaman	26	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-7	5	13.0	14.7	-1.70	16.3	18.4	-2.13
Ryan Gomes	54	54	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.41	9	-18	27	14.0	14.6	-0.62	18.0	17.5	0.48
Craig Smith	18	17	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	-2	-5	15.7	13.8	1.89	15.6	18.3	-2.71
Al-Farouq Aminu	24	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-2	-5	14.7	14.0	0.73	19.9	17.0	2.90
Baron Davis	55	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.09	-4	-5	1	14.3	14.0	0.30	16.4	20.0	-3.62
Rasual Butler	39	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-9	9	14.1	14.3	-0.28	16.7	18.7	-1.94
Blake Griffin	73	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.32	1	-10	11	14.0	15.0	-0.97	18.3	15.2	3.09
Eric Bledsoe	41	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	1	-11	14.3	14.1	0.15	19.3	16.5	2.76
Eric Gordon	80	79	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.08	-21	12	-33	13.9	17.0	-3.14	17.5	19.5	-2.00

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	58	56	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.16	10	-1	11	16.7	19.8	-3.19	14.0	14.6	-0.56
Marcus Camby	72	71	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.18	8	1	7	18.0	16.8	1.19	13.9	15.3	-1.33
Wesley Matthews	67	66	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.13	9	0	9	17.9	17.5	0.42	13.6	15.8	-2.21
Brandon Roy	60	59	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.15	7	2	5	18.3	16.8	1.53	13.4	15.8	-2.38
Andre Miller	72	73	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.25	2	7	-5	18.2	15.9	2.31	13.8	16.0	-2.21
LaMarcus Aldridge	38	41	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.00	7	2	5	19.2	16.7	2.46	15.7	13.0	2.66
Patty Mills	18	17	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.02	7	2	5	15.9	18.2	-2.31	16.0	13.8	2.21
Rudy Fernandez	23	24	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	9	-9	17.5	17.9	-0.42	15.8	13.6	2.21
Joel Przybilla	17	18	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	11	-13	17.0	18.0	-0.97	15.1	14.0	1.06
Dante Cunningham	25	25	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.10	-3	12	-15	16.9	18.1	-1.26	14.4	14.1	0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.89,0.97,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 98, WAS 105	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.81,0.97,1,1,1	95.0%
NJN 96, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.95,0.92,0.84,0.88,0.95,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.95,0.98,0.98,1	94.8%
MIL 92, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.97,1,0.99,1,1	94.6%