inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 98 Excitement4.3 [907] MVPTracy Murray (WAS): +8.2%
Washington Bullets 105 Comeback1.0 [1057] LVPSam Mitchell (MIN): -22.6%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shane Heal0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.060.080.010.03869%0.0600.0000%0.00
Chris Carr0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.002100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Stephon Marbury0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.001059%0.052-0.042100%0.00
Dean Garrett0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.02283%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Stojko Vrankovic-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01367%0.022-0.0300%0.00
Cherokee Parks-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Doug West-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.02825%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Terry Porter-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.01250%-0.004-0.0700%0.00
James Robinson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.030.02847%-0.041-0.03367%-0.01
Kevin Garnett-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.100.00-0.021131%-0.051-0.034100%0.02
Tom Gugliotta-0.100,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.03-0.031757%0.047-0.141080%0.01
Sam Mitchell-0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.15,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.08-0.090.051443%-0.133-0.10250%-0.01

Washington Bullets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tracy Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.000.01591%0.0800.001100%0.00
Jaren Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.00-0.014100%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.060.06-0.000.02-0.041250%0.081-0.022100%0.00
Calbert Cheaney0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00-0.01856%0.031-0.022100%0.00
Gheorghe Muresan0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.01550%0.0100.002100%0.01
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,00.000.03-0.03-0.001667%0.104-0.10450%-0.01
Harvey Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01450%0.001-0.01250%-0.01
Chris Webber0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.110.01-0.051244%-0.012-0.041267%-0.01
Rod Strickland0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.17-0.00-0.061534%-0.083-0.04875%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.82.426.215.823.42.334.4129.2
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +41.6%
MIN -5.9%
MIN -7.0%
WAS +18.9%
WAS +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINWASNBAMINWASNBA
this game14.713.415.695.1102.9104.4
season15.514.8103.3104.3
opponent15.815.5103.3105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN16.416.414.612.014.7
WAS15.613.514.810.813.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dean Garrett109-0.01-0.490.47-0.134-111513.614.8-1.1710.313.7-3.40
Chris Carr3938-0.02-0.480.46-0.299-162514.414.8-0.4014.612.71.87
Shane Heal3132-0.05-0.450.40-0.257-142112.015.8-3.7610.814.6-3.77
Stojko Vrankovic2828-0.07-0.430.36-0.070-7715.614.31.3516.112.43.74
James Robinson4848-0.15-0.350.19-0.212-91113.915.4-1.5112.714.1-1.37
Cherokee Parks2726-0.17-0.330.17-0.05-4-3-115.914.21.6212.013.9-1.97
Stephon Marbury4239-0.18-0.320.14-0.12-2-5317.113.04.0713.813.20.55
Terry Porter3031-0.27-0.23-0.040.08-125-1714.014.9-0.9315.712.53.23
Tom Gugliotta8183-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.22-4-3-114.316.1-1.8213.811.91.82
Doug West5453-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.02-114-1515.613.61.9614.312.41.89
Kevin Garnett6866-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.10-125-1714.714.60.0913.014.3-1.31
Sam Mitchell8281-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.23-81-914.415.7-1.3213.015.0-2.04

Washington Bullets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Calbert Cheaney81800.51-0.010.520.1911-41512.317.9-5.5714.415.4-1.00
Rod Strickland76760.500.000.500.239-21112.715.5-2.7214.215.9-1.72
Chris Webber93950.490.010.470.258-1912.918.9-5.9914.615.6-1.05
Juwan Howard86860.450.050.390.2470712.916.3-3.4214.316.5-2.17
Harvey Grant44440.260.240.020.0570715.711.74.0415.813.81.94
Chris Whitney52520.170.33-0.160.26-310-1312.414.5-2.0213.915.4-1.49
Gheorghe Muresan28280.070.43-0.360.0707-716.112.43.7415.614.31.35
Tracy Murray29310.070.43-0.370.0707-714.213.11.0815.814.21.59
Jaren Jackson2123-0.010.51-0.520.11-411-1517.912.35.5715.414.41.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.81,0.97,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 92, ATL 1020.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.97,1,0.99,1,195.5%
CHI 89, CLE 960.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.95,0.96,1,1,195.3%
IND 95, CLE 1030.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.83,0.83,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.86,0.99,0.98,0.98,195.0%