NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	107		Excitement	5.9 [626]		MVP	Ersan Ilyasova (MIL): +34.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	111		Comeback	1.0 [824]		LVP	Solomon Hill (IND): -16.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.14	0.12	0.03	0.01	12	83%	0.25	5	-0.11	5	80%	0.01
CJ Miles	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08	0.13	-0.02	0.02	14	68%	0.11	2	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	71%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Luis Scola	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	12	52%	0.09	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
CJ Watson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.03	0.03	9	70%	0.11	4	-0.08	15	87%	0.03
Damjan Rudez	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Lavoy Allen	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	0.01	7	36%	-0.07	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.35	0.05	0.05	14	100%	0.35	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.01	-0.02	10	67%	0.14	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Khris Middleton	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.01	12	63%	0.12	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.07	0.09	-0.02	11	39%	0.08	2	-0.04	11	64%	-0.02
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	7	67%	0.08	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Tyler Ennis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	6	43%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	5	30%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.6	27.3	15.5	33.2	2.5	44.3	150.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +34.7%

MIL +3.3%

IND -9.4%

MIL +19.7%

MIL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIL	NBA	IND	MIL	NBA
this game	15.7	13.8	15.1	110.3	113.3	104.2
season	16.0	14.5		102.3	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.0		101.0	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.4	16.0	13.5	16.4	15.7
MIL	13.3	14.0	13.7	14.3	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lavoy Allen	36	36	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.15	8	-12	20	16.8	15.1	1.69	14.9	13.1	1.80
Ian Mahinmi	39	39	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.12	5	-9	14	17.1	14.8	2.32	13.9	13.7	0.24
Solomon Hill	45	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	0	-4	15.6	15.9	-0.35	14.1	13.5	0.58
George Hill	65	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-7	10	16.4	14.3	2.09	14.2	12.9	1.32
CJ Watson	66	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.41	3	-7	10	15.4	16.5	-1.14	13.6	14.3	-0.75
CJ Miles	68	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.23	-4	0	-4	14.7	18.1	-3.42	13.6	14.3	-0.66
Damjan Rudez	48	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.03	-11	7	-18	16.6	14.9	1.71	13.3	14.3	-1.03
Roy Hibbert	57	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.21	-8	4	-12	15.1	16.7	-1.63	13.9	13.6	0.31
Luis Scola	61	62	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.23	-12	8	-20	15.1	16.8	-1.69	13.1	14.9	-1.80

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ersan Ilyasova	73	72	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.07	19	-15	34	13.4	15.0	-1.60	16.1	14.7	1.43
Khris Middleton	73	72	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.33	9	-5	14	13.5	14.8	-1.28	15.1	17.6	-2.45
Giannis Antetokounmpo	88	87	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-9	22	13.6	15.3	-1.66	15.6	16.8	-1.18
Zaza Pachulia	64	63	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.18	9	-5	14	14.0	13.5	0.42	16.7	14.1	2.59
Michael Carter-Williams	58	58	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.06	17	-13	30	13.7	14.0	-0.37	16.4	14.8	1.58
Jerryd Bayless	40	39	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.45	-13	17	-30	14.0	13.7	0.37	14.8	16.4	-1.58
John Henson	34	34	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.20	-5	9	-14	13.5	14.0	-0.42	14.1	16.7	-2.59
Tyler Ennis	12	11	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	8	-12	15.0	13.6	1.36	14.8	15.9	-1.04
Jared Dudley	25	25	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.32	-15	19	-34	15.0	13.4	1.60	14.7	16.1	-1.43
O.J. Mayo	23	24	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.14	-10	14	-24	14.9	13.5	1.39	18.5	14.8	3.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.83,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.74,0.68,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.86,0.81,0.86,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.95,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 99, LAL 110	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.98,1	95.0%
NJN 96, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.95,0.92,0.84,0.88,0.95,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.95,0.98,0.98,1	94.8%
SAS 83, PHX 92	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.78,0.84,0.98,1	94.7%