NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	102		Excitement	5.6 [726]		MVP	Drew Gooden (CLE): +19.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	109		Comeback	2.1 [1077]		LVP	Jarvis Hayes (WAS): -16.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.03	0.04	24	57%	0.14	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Brendan Haywood	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	6	81%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	6	59%	0.06	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	13	48%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Etan Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	5	64%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	10	46%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.03
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	12	29%	-0.12	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Jarvis Hayes	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17	-0.11	-0.04	0.01	13	19%	-0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.18	0.02	0.01	13	77%	0.23	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	22	47%	0.09	2	-0.04	13	85%	0.02
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.02	11	63%	0.08	4	-0.07	8	87%	0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Ira Newble	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	14	52%	0.08	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	12	35%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.7	29.2	15.3	24.7	2.7	42.2	142.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +37.5%

CLE +3.8%

CLE +23.7%

WAS -17.2%

CLE +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CLE	NBA	WAS	CLE	NBA
this game	15.6	14.9	15.4	109.7	113.5	104.5
season	14.8	16.0		107.8	103.2
opponent	15.6	15.3		99.6	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.5	19.2	17.3	11.7	15.6
CLE	17.1	15.1	14.0	13.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roger Mason Jr.	44	44	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.20	10	-17	27	14.5	16.7	-2.18	14.7	15.0	-0.25
Michael Ruffin	12	12	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-7	7	19.5	15.0	4.45	16.6	14.6	1.96
Brendan Haywood	35	34	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-7	7	16.5	15.1	1.47	16.1	14.2	1.85
Darius Songaila	58	59	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.27	4	-11	15	14.7	17.1	-2.39	15.1	14.6	0.48
Antawn Jamison	78	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-3	-1	15.0	19.1	-4.11	14.5	16.9	-2.37
Antonio Daniels	85	87	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-7	7	15.6	16.1	-0.55	15.1	13.0	2.06
Etan Thomas	28	31	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	7	-21	17.7	14.7	3.04	15.7	14.5	1.20
Jarvis Hayes	66	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	3	-13	15.4	16.2	-0.84	14.2	16.6	-2.35
DeShawn Stevenson	59	63	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.05	-21	14	-35	16.2	14.6	1.68	14.3	15.8	-1.50

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	92	89	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.29	12	-5	17	14.7	17.5	-2.75	15.4	21.5	-6.14
Larry Hughes	89	86	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.25	13	-6	19	14.8	16.0	-1.22	15.5	17.4	-1.95
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	70	66	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.18	14	-7	21	16.2	11.3	4.93	16.0	14.7	1.35
Sasha Pavlovic	58	57	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.05	18	-11	29	13.9	16.3	-2.31	15.7	15.5	0.25
Drew Gooden	62	58	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.21	10	-3	13	14.9	14.8	0.06	17.3	12.9	4.44
Anderson Varejao	39	38	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.19	-5	12	-17	17.2	13.3	3.94	15.8	15.5	0.32
Ira Newble	7	8	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.06	0	7	-7	1.1	15.9	-14.80	8.9	16.3	-7.38
Donyell Marshall	6	7	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.07	-6	13	-19	15.7	14.8	0.86	15.3	15.7	-0.37
Daniel Gibson	13	12	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.07	-7	14	-21	17.4	14.5	2.91	17.8	15.3	2.54
Eric Snow	44	44	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.23	-14	21	-35	13.6	15.9	-2.35	14.0	17.0	-3.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.34,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 92, PHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.8%
POR 91, MIA 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.98,1	94.5%
TOR 72, MIA 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%