NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	92		Excitement	5.1 [819]		MVP	Dario Saric (PHI): +16.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	103		Comeback	1.9 [862]		LVP	Marcus Smart (BOS): -9.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylen Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Aron Baynes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Marcus Morris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.03	15	52%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Shane Larkin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Terry Rozier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	11	42%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Greg Monroe	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	2	60%	-0.00	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.01	0.06	16	56%	0.02	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Al Horford	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	6	71%	0.04	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.04	0.03	12	50%	-0.02	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dario Saric	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.04	0.02	17	62%	0.17	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.02	0.04	12	76%	0.13	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	15	47%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Justin Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	0.00	7	35%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	7	21%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	11	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Ben Simmons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	15	50%	-0.00	4	-0.08	8	87%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	2.8	33.2	16.4	29.4	1.0	35.2	147.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +0.9%

PHI +5.9%

PHI +15.6%

PHI +21.3%

PHI +6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	14.8	15.3	14.7	94.8	108.4	107.5
season	15.1	13.9		106.4	108.1
opponent	14.7	14.7		103.8	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.7	14.7	15.9	12.8	14.8
PHI	13.6	15.3	15.4	16.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Semi Ojeleye	25	24	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-14	17	15.2	14.6	0.55	14.2	15.6	-1.40
Shane Larkin	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	-10	9	11.2	14.9	-3.75	13.6	15.3	-1.74
Guerschon Yabusele	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	9.5	15.0	-5.48	10.3	15.4	-5.08
Abdel Nader	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	9.5	15.0	-5.48	10.3	15.4	-5.08
Greg Monroe	17	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.06	-2	-9	7	10.8	15.6	-4.76	15.9	15.1	0.81
Jaylen Brown	49	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	-6	1	13.5	16.1	-2.59	14.7	15.9	-1.18
Aron Baynes	37	38	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-2	-7	17.4	13.1	4.29	14.8	15.5	-0.68
Marcus Morris	68	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	-4	-3	14.4	15.6	-1.14	15.8	13.9	1.88
Jayson Tatum	69	69	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.28	-1	-10	9	14.9	14.3	0.61	16.2	12.6	3.63
Marcus Smart	61	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	1	-13	15.0	14.3	0.67	15.8	14.3	1.45
Al Horford	68	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.10	-11	0	-11	15.7	12.6	3.14	14.8	16.2	-1.41
Terry Rozier	78	75	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	3	-17	14.9	14.1	0.87	15.1	15.9	-0.82

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Embiid	70	71	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.02	22	-11	33	15.6	14.4	1.21	15.4	13.1	2.24
T.J. McConnell	76	77	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.03	18	-7	25	15.5	14.2	1.30	15.2	12.8	2.40
JJ Redick	66	66	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.06	17	-6	23	15.2	15.3	-0.13	15.1	13.9	1.20
Ben Simmons	64	65	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.18	5	6	-1	14.5	16.7	-2.21	15.4	13.5	1.92
Ersan Ilyasova	34	35	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.15	1	10	-9	14.5	15.7	-1.13	14.4	15.0	-0.60
Dario Saric	75	76	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	12	-13	15.8	13.2	2.60	15.1	13.7	1.39
Marco Belinelli	49	50	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.18	-3	14	-17	15.4	15.1	0.28	13.7	15.9	-2.17
Robert Covington	39	42	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.18	-3	14	-17	15.0	15.4	-0.43	12.8	16.2	-3.43
Justin Anderson	2	3	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	12	-13	12.0	15.3	-3.32	7.3	15.0	-7.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 91, MIA 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.98,1	95.3%
ATL 94, WAS 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.7,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.89,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
DET 94, OKC 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.1%