inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 86 Excitement2.3 [1290] MVPChauncey Billups (DET): +11.3%
Detroit Pistons 113 Comeback1.5 [1001] LVPLarry Hughes (CLE): -7.1%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0.070,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.01-0.00-0.061858%0.124-0.052100%0.01
Donyell Marshall0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.000.01667%0.0400.0000%0.00
Eric Snow0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.013100%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alan Henderson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Damon Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01243%0.0010.003100%0.00
Ira Newble0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.063117%0.0010.0000%0.00
Anderson Varejao-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.100.000.10585%-0.0000.003100%0.00
Ronald Murray-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.110.00-0.09717%-0.001-0.02475%0.00
Drew Gooden-0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.02729%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.000.001441%-0.031-0.02667%-0.01
Larry Hughes-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.060.000.011331%-0.0700.0000%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.110.020.01587%0.131-0.026100%0.02
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.110.000.01786%0.1100.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.00-0.01775%0.1000.002100%0.01
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.110.000.021663%0.101-0.01667%-0.00
Rasheed Wallace0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.02862%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.060.000.04487%0.0200.0000%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.05420%0.0000.0020%-0.00
Tony Delk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01550%0.0000.0000%0.00
Carlos Delfino0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.021150%0.0030.0000%0.00
Dale Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.090.00-0.0930%0.0020.0000%0.00
Kelvin Cato0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.000.021853%0.032-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.13.635.416.826.33.528.2141.8
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +39.7%
DET +7.2%
CLE -1.4%
DET +3.7%
DET +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEDETNBACLEDETNBA
this game16.816.915.6100.0132.9104.4
season16.216.9105.6108.3
opponent15.815.5101.4103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE17.816.919.213.816.8
DET17.317.416.816.216.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sasha Pavlovic560.00-0.500.500.000-272711.817.1-5.3112.817.2-4.36
Alan Henderson17170.00-0.500.50-0.155-323713.817.5-3.7116.017.1-1.10
Ira Newble17170.00-0.500.50-0.155-323713.817.5-3.7116.017.1-1.10
Damon Jones3333-0.17-0.330.16-0.08-3-242115.717.5-1.7917.816.31.48
Anderson Varejao3939-0.18-0.320.150.03-7-201314.618.7-4.1016.916.80.12
Drew Gooden3735-0.20-0.300.100.24-15-12-319.015.13.8616.317.3-0.97
Eric Snow3938-0.22-0.280.060.28-17-10-718.815.23.6016.417.2-0.79
Zydrunas Ilgauskas4242-0.24-0.260.020.23-16-11-518.615.03.6016.817.0-0.14
Ronald Murray4747-0.28-0.22-0.060.02-10-17715.218.8-3.6017.216.40.79
Donyell Marshall3231-0.30-0.20-0.090.20-17-10-716.317.1-0.8318.216.12.01
Larry Hughes6059-0.42-0.08-0.330.43-292-3117.415.42.0316.717.3-0.67
LeBron James6261-0.50-0.00-0.500.41-314-3518.013.84.1217.216.21.00

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ben Wallace65650.480.020.46-0.6438-114917.016.50.4317.514.82.70
Tayshaun Prince54550.440.060.39-0.4129-23117.216.30.8818.114.63.47
Antonio McDyess39410.430.070.36-0.3928-12917.716.21.5916.017.5-1.49
Richard Hamilton58600.420.080.34-0.5533-63916.717.3-0.6617.814.53.36
Chauncey Billups52540.300.200.09-0.502702716.717.2-0.4918.214.43.77
Lindsey Hunter33320.200.30-0.090.20027-2717.216.70.4914.418.2-3.77
Rasheed Wallace36360.090.41-0.32-0.14819-1117.316.60.7819.914.65.31
Tony Delk27260.080.42-0.340.25-633-3917.316.70.6614.517.8-3.36
Maurice Evans16160.060.44-0.39-0.18819-1117.616.70.8416.316.9-0.60
Carlos Delfino15150.000.50-0.500.29-1037-4715.017.3-2.2912.717.7-4.93
Dale Davis15150.000.50-0.500.29-1037-4715.017.3-2.2912.717.7-4.93
Kelvin Cato15150.000.50-0.500.29-1037-4715.017.3-2.2912.717.7-4.93


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 94, DEN 1110.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%
PHX 90, SAC 1190.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
TOR 91, GSW 1170.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%