NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	90		Excitement	2.3 [1292]		MVP	Kevin Martin (SAC): +14.1%
Sacramento Kings	119		Comeback	1.5 [991]		LVP	Boris Diaw (PHX): -7.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.16	0.00	0.09	16	68%	0.07	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	10	54%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Josh Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	44%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Dijon Thompson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	45%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Pat Burke	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	37%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
James Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	20%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	16	53%	0.01	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	11	32%	-0.04	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.12	-0.00	-0.08	8	39%	0.00	5	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	8	28%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.19	0.00	0.05	14	74%	0.14	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	-0.08	17	51%	0.09	3	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	13	67%	0.08	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.10	4	40%	0.03	3	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	15	60%	0.05	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Sampson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	9	39%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.09	-0.00	0.09	13	73%	0.04	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.5	27.5	17.3	26.4	2.7	25.5	123.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +44.9%

SAC +1.0%

SAC +6.5%

PHX -4.2%

SAC +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	12.7	15.2	15.6	87.4	115.5	104.4
season	13.8	15.3		110.2	104.7
opponent	15.5	16.1		103.8	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	11.9	13.7	12.6	12.8	12.7
SAC	15.8	14.0	14.6	16.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Davis	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-29	29	12.8	12.7	0.08	14.3	15.3	-1.05
Dijon Thompson	18	18	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-33	37	12.5	12.8	-0.30	16.1	15.0	1.02
Pat Burke	27	27	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.02	-1	-28	27	12.7	12.8	-0.06	14.7	15.4	-0.74
James Jones	30	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	-21	13	14.1	12.2	1.91	16.1	14.8	1.22
Eddie House	41	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.13	-12	-17	5	13.0	12.5	0.50	15.7	14.9	0.73
Kurt Thomas	56	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.27	-18	-11	-7	12.1	13.5	-1.36	15.3	15.1	0.17
Raja Bell	74	75	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.40	-24	-5	-19	12.4	13.7	-1.31	15.0	15.9	-0.93
Boris Diaw	62	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.28	-21	-8	-13	13.0	12.3	0.72	15.0	15.6	-0.62
Steve Nash	60	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.26	-21	-8	-13	12.4	13.3	-0.87	15.0	15.6	-0.60
Leandro Barbosa	64	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.20	-20	-9	-11	13.0	12.3	0.67	16.0	14.0	1.99
Shawn Marion	72	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.27	-24	-5	-19	12.8	12.7	0.10	14.7	16.4	-1.72

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	82	82	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.39	28	1	27	15.1	15.8	-0.69	12.8	12.4	0.40
Kevin Martin	84	84	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.33	26	3	23	15.0	16.2	-1.22	12.7	12.8	-0.12
Kenny Thomas	81	82	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.30	25	4	21	15.8	13.1	2.70	12.9	12.1	0.76
Mike Bibby	74	74	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.36	27	2	25	14.8	16.2	-1.43	12.4	13.6	-1.12
Francisco Garcia	92	92	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.31	23	6	17	15.6	12.2	3.39	12.4	15.3	-2.83
Jason Hart	42	43	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.14	14	15	-1	15.6	15.0	0.60	13.5	12.2	1.31
Corliss Williamson	28	28	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.07	7	22	-15	13.7	15.8	-2.06	12.2	13.0	-0.78
Brian Skinner	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	31	-33	15.7	15.1	0.53	12.5	12.8	-0.29
Jamal Sampson	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	32	-35	11.7	15.4	-3.60	16.5	12.6	3.90
Ronnie Price	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	29	-29	16.3	15.1	1.25	13.2	12.7	0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 80, DAL 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
NYK 91, CHA 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
ATL 94, ORL 129	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%