NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	94		Excitement	2.4 [1218]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): +8.7%
Orlando Magic	129		Comeback	1.4 [1081]		LVP	Hanno Mottola (ATL): -3.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	17	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Toni Kukoc	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	7	76%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Mark Strickland	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	18	44%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	70%	0.02	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dion Glover	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	9	40%	-0.01	2	0.00	7	86%	-0.00
Emanual Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	2	0%	-0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	8	39%	-0.02	3	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	6	53%	-0.02	3	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0.03	7	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.01	-0.04	19	67%	0.14	5	-0.06	10	100%	0.03
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	0.00	0.04	8	95%	0.08	2	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.13	-0.00	0.11	11	79%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	87%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	56%	0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	92%	0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	4	25%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	6	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	67%	-0.01	1	-0.00	3	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.6	31.0	16.8	14.7	42.5	59.4	192.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +35.7%

ORL +6.6%

ORL +9.4%

ATL -1.0%

ATL -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	ORL	NBA	ATL	ORL	NBA
this game	15.4	13.8	15.6	95.9	130.3	102.3
season	15.5	14.6		99.7	104.6
opponent	15.8	15.2		103.3	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.5	17.1	15.4	12.9	15.4
ORL	14.2	12.2	13.4	15.3	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cal Bowdler	2	1	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.04	2	-37	39	13.5	15.5	-1.99	19.0	13.7	5.26
DerMarr Johnson	39	40	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.27	-11	-24	13	13.2	16.9	-3.73	13.9	13.7	0.26
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	19	19	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-31	27	16.4	15.2	1.21	15.2	13.5	1.75
Nazr Mohammed	53	54	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.09	-7	-28	21	14.9	16.1	-1.22	14.5	12.9	1.63
Emanual Davis	38	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.18	-13	-22	9	14.8	15.8	-1.03	13.7	13.9	-0.17
Dion Glover	40	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.37	-20	-15	-5	14.5	16.1	-1.56	14.5	13.3	1.18
Jacque Vaughn	60	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.34	-22	-13	-9	15.8	14.8	1.03	13.9	13.7	0.17
Toni Kukoc	60	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.21	-18	-17	-1	16.4	13.9	2.54	13.5	14.3	-0.84
Hanno Mottola	44	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.31	-22	-13	-9	15.7	15.2	0.51	13.4	14.2	-0.79
Mark Strickland	68	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.55	-34	-1	-33	15.8	14.6	1.22	13.2	15.1	-1.89
Jason Terry	67	68	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.28	-26	-9	-17	16.1	14.1	2.03	13.4	14.6	-1.23

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pat Garrity	52	49	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.48	35	0	35	12.6	15.2	-2.61	17.0	13.9	3.02
Troy Hudson	58	56	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.58	38	-3	41	13.8	13.9	-0.10	15.5	15.4	0.04
Tracy McGrady	65	66	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.26	24	11	13	13.6	14.1	-0.49	16.5	13.3	3.17
Patrick Ewing	20	20	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.23	21	14	7	11.3	14.4	-3.07	18.8	14.6	4.27
Jud Buechler	43	43	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.35	21	14	7	13.6	14.0	-0.42	14.2	16.4	-2.17
Darrell Armstrong	51	51	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.07	7	28	-21	14.2	13.4	0.78	15.9	15.0	0.86
Horace Grant	52	52	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	32	-29	14.0	13.6	0.43	15.6	15.3	0.31
Mike Miller	47	46	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.09	6	29	-23	13.2	14.4	-1.20	15.3	15.6	-0.23
Monty Williams	34	34	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.26	11	24	-13	14.8	13.3	1.52	13.8	16.3	-2.58
Don Reid	26	25	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.26	9	26	-17	15.3	13.3	2.00	12.9	16.3	-3.40
Andrew DeClercq	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	32	-29	16.5	13.2	3.30	12.2	16.1	-3.96
Steven Hunter	30	31	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	38	-41	14.4	13.5	0.86	15.3	15.5	-0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 91, CHA 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
PHX 90, SAC 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
WAS 108, TOR 127	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%