NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	108		Excitement	2.6 [1246]		MVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): +10.5%
Toronto Raptors	127		Comeback	1.4 [910]		LVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): -10.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaVale McGee	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.14	0.00	0.07	12	66%	0.07	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.03
Kirk Hinrich	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	12	58%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	16	45%	0.03	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01
Nick Young	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Al Thornton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	27%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Cartier Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	0.00	0.09	11	61%	-0.00	2	-0.02	9	89%	-0.01
Trevor Booker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	0.00	-0.02	10	27%	-0.08	2	-0.03	6	83%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.02	-0.03	13	64%	0.14	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.00	0.04	11	69%	0.08	1	-0.01	7	71%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	13	62%	0.06	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.01	7	79%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	7	69%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Sonny Weems	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	12	60%	0.06	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	8	44%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Joey Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Julian Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	0.00	0.08	9	73%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.7	32.3	16.4	30.1	1.8	28.0	137.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +43.6%

WAS -3.5%

TOR +7.1%

TOR +4.3%

WAS -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	TOR	NBA	WAS	TOR	NBA
this game	14.8	14.6	15.5	110.2	129.6	105.7
season	15.1	15.1		100.9	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.2		111.2	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.7	15.4	12.8	14.3	14.8
TOR	12.6	12.9	17.2	15.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cartier Martin	13	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-23	27	13.9	15.0	-1.04	16.9	14.2	2.68
Kevin Seraphin	25	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-17	15	16.2	14.3	1.90	14.0	14.8	-0.75
Alonzo Gee	28	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.10	-8	-11	3	16.1	14.3	1.74	14.1	14.7	-0.60
Gilbert Arenas	61	62	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-13	7	14.4	15.6	-1.23	14.3	15.0	-0.65
Nick Young	24	25	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	-8	-3	16.5	14.3	2.22	13.0	15.1	-2.04
Al Thornton	30	29	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.05	-10	-9	-1	16.0	14.3	1.69	14.7	14.5	0.23
JaVale McGee	58	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.16	-15	-4	-11	14.8	14.9	-0.08	14.1	15.1	-0.98
Andray Blatche	65	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	-8	-3	15.1	14.4	0.70	14.6	14.6	-0.00
Trevor Booker	48	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-9	-1	13.8	15.8	-1.99	15.3	13.8	1.53
Kirk Hinrich	72	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.13	-15	-4	-11	14.6	15.6	-1.02	14.4	15.0	-0.56
John Wall	66	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.06	-11	-8	-3	14.1	16.4	-2.35	15.2	13.4	1.81

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	41	42	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.17	18	1	17	14.8	14.4	0.34	15.4	14.4	1.05
DeMar DeRozan	58	58	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	6	7	14.3	14.9	-0.61	14.8	14.8	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	48	47	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	11	-3	16.1	13.1	3.06	14.4	15.2	-0.73
Amir Johnson	44	43	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.20	16	3	13	14.5	14.6	-0.11	16.2	13.7	2.51
Ed Davis	50	50	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	13	-7	14.5	14.6	-0.12	13.6	16.1	-2.54
Joey Dorsey	41	39	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	16	-13	14.2	14.8	-0.67	13.8	15.5	-1.63
Andrea Bargnani	49	51	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.12	12	7	5	14.8	14.3	0.55	16.1	13.4	2.69
Jose Calderon	54	54	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.07	10	9	1	13.1	16.3	-3.19	14.7	15.0	-0.23
Linas Kleiza	36	37	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.01	7	12	-5	15.1	14.2	0.91	14.6	15.0	-0.42
Sonny Weems	56	57	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.19	10	9	1	14.4	14.7	-0.27	15.2	14.3	0.96
Julian Wright	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.24	-8	27	-35	14.8	14.5	0.24	11.4	15.3	-3.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 82, BOS 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
ATL 102, DEN 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
SEA 89, PHI 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%