NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	82		Excitement	2.5 [1249]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +10.5%
Boston Celtics	111		Comeback	1.2 [1308]		LVP	Johan Petro (SEA): -10.4%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Ridnour	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	8	42%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Earl Watson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	13	41%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	6	47%	-0.00	4	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	14	53%	0.01	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Johan Petro	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	0.00	-0.02	15	40%	-0.04	5	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.17	0.00	0.06	10	90%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	5	110%	0.09	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	11	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.03	3	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	8	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	8	38%	0.02	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	14	55%	0.03	2	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	7	33%	-0.00	2	-0.02	4	50%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	0.00	0.07	7	67%	-0.02	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	56%	-0.01	2	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.5	31.4	16.5	27.4	2.5	27.3	136.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +37.0%

BOS +0.7%

SEA -7.2%

BOS +18.2%

BOS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	BOS	NBA	SEA	BOS	NBA
this game	14.9	14.9	15.4	85.4	114.4	105.7
season	14.5	15.6		99.1	108.0
opponent	15.9	15.0		98.3	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.1	14.6	17.4	15.4	14.9
BOS	13.1	13.7	16.1	17.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Griffin	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-32	35	15.5	14.9	0.62	17.1	14.6	2.47
Mike Wilks	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-32	35	15.5	14.9	0.62	17.1	14.6	2.47
Chris Wilcox	41	42	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.33	-12	-17	5	15.9	14.3	1.62	15.8	14.2	1.61
Mickael Gelabale	41	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-29	29	15.1	14.8	0.26	15.3	14.6	0.73
Donyell Marshall	43	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	-18	7	14.5	15.3	-0.75	15.7	14.3	1.32
Luke Ridnour	35	34	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.17	-14	-15	1	14.0	15.5	-1.49	15.6	14.5	1.02
Damien Wilkins	40	38	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.28	-18	-11	-7	14.3	15.4	-1.03	14.6	15.1	-0.48
Jeff Green	46	48	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.16	-14	-15	1	15.3	14.6	0.77	14.6	15.2	-0.54
Earl Watson	51	52	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.27	-18	-11	-7	15.5	14.3	1.16	14.0	15.9	-1.93
Johan Petro	63	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.02	-12	-17	5	15.5	13.9	1.63	14.7	15.3	-0.57
Francisco Elson	33	33	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	0.26	-21	-8	-13	13.5	15.7	-2.28	13.6	15.5	-1.91
Kevin Durant	67	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.44	-31	2	-33	14.8	15.4	-0.62	14.4	16.1	-1.65

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie House	36	36	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.18	18	11	7	15.2	14.7	0.56	14.2	15.4	-1.16
Paul Pierce	54	55	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.35	22	7	15	13.6	16.5	-2.82	15.2	14.6	0.59
Kevin Garnett	47	47	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.21	17	12	5	14.6	15.2	-0.58	15.4	14.6	0.81
Ray Allen	52	51	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.30	20	9	11	14.0	15.9	-1.93	15.5	14.3	1.16
James Posey	53	52	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.06	11	18	-7	16.0	13.6	2.35	14.1	16.0	-1.90
Glen Davis	35	33	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	22	-15	15.8	14.4	1.41	14.7	15.1	-0.38
Leon Powe	36	36	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.26	16	13	3	14.5	15.1	-0.63	14.1	15.5	-1.38
Tony Allen	40	39	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.05	9	20	-11	16.3	13.9	2.43	14.8	15.1	-0.30
Kendrick Perkins	47	47	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.19	13	16	-3	13.4	16.3	-2.85	15.2	14.7	0.52
Sam Cassell	29	27	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	26	-23	14.9	14.9	-0.00	14.7	15.0	-0.29
Rajon Rondo	32	33	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.21	8	21	-13	14.5	15.1	-0.59	15.9	14.4	1.46
P.J. Brown	24	24	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	28	-27	17.7	14.0	3.68	15.7	14.7	1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 108, TOR 127	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
CLE 97, SAS 116	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
DAL 88, BKN 127	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%