NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	94		Excitement	3.5 [1078]		MVP	J.R. Smith (DEN): +14.8%
Denver Nuggets	111		Comeback	1.3 [1001]		LVP	Rafer Alston (HOU): -10.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Novak	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	0.00	0.06	10	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	12	66%	0.06	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.01
Loren Woods	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	9	52%	0.00	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	8	39%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Michael Harris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	18	37%	-0.03	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Charles Hayes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Luis Scola	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	30%	-0.06	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.04
Rafer Alston	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	10	27%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.20	0.01	0.06	13	82%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	20	65%	0.09	4	-0.03	11	55%	-0.04
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.01	4	78%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	10	69%	0.02	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	3	43%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yakhouba Diawara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	7	37%	-0.02	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	14	31%	-0.03	2	-0.04	7	71%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.5	34.8	15.0	24.6	1.5	25.3	130.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +28.8%

DEN +8.0%

DEN +3.2%

DEN +9.6%

DEN +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DEN	NBA	HOU	DEN	NBA
this game	15.5	12.7	15.4	92.2	108.8	105.7
season	16.2	13.3		104.6	108.2
opponent	15.2	15.2		105.4	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.0	14.2	17.5	15.6	15.5
DEN	12.2	12.4	9.9	17.1	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Loren Woods	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-20	23	17.2	15.4	1.84	15.2	12.4	2.78
Dikembe Mutombo	35	36	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.02	-2	-15	13	16.5	15.0	1.51	11.3	13.5	-2.18
Aaron Brooks	32	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.00	-5	-12	7	15.7	15.5	0.29	15.1	11.6	3.51
Rafer Alston	57	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	-10	3	15.4	15.8	-0.37	10.8	15.0	-4.18
Luther Head	56	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-10	3	15.7	15.3	0.41	14.7	10.4	4.27
Luis Scola	64	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-6	-5	16.2	14.5	1.67	11.6	14.6	-2.99
Charles Hayes	46	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	-10	3	14.5	16.4	-1.99	15.2	10.8	4.39
Michael Harris	39	39	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-8	-1	14.8	16.0	-1.14	11.3	13.6	-2.32
Steve Novak	55	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	-7	-3	15.5	15.6	-0.09	14.1	11.0	3.09
Tracy McGrady	67	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	-4	-9	15.9	14.9	0.97	11.1	15.7	-4.52
Carl Landry	50	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.14	-17	0	-17	14.8	16.3	-1.55	12.5	12.9	-0.44

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	91	92	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.12	22	-5	27	12.4	14.8	-2.39	15.3	17.4	-2.05
Marcus Camby	78	78	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.11	20	-3	23	12.8	12.5	0.30	15.9	14.4	1.48
Eduardo Najera	53	53	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.09	17	0	17	13.2	12.2	0.97	14.1	17.1	-2.95
Linas Kleiza	55	53	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.02	12	5	7	12.2	13.3	-1.06	15.3	15.8	-0.44
J.R. Smith	53	53	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.11	13	4	9	13.4	12.0	1.40	14.5	16.7	-2.16
Anthony Carter	56	55	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	12	-7	12.5	12.9	-0.37	16.8	14.1	2.75
Carmelo Anthony	52	55	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.01	6	11	-5	13.6	11.7	1.93	15.4	15.7	-0.32
Kenyon Martin	51	51	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	15	-13	11.0	14.4	-3.37	16.3	14.8	1.49
Steven Hunter	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	23	-29	12.0	12.7	-0.71	16.5	15.5	0.99
Bobby Jones	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	14.0	12.6	1.43	17.6	15.4	2.17
Yakhouba Diawara	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	15.2	12.4	2.78	17.2	15.4	1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 86, DET 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
TOR 91, GSW 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
BOS 102, DET 109	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%