NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	102		Excitement	6.7 [492]		MVP	Tim Thomas (PHX): +23.9%
Phoenix Suns	107		Comeback	1.1 [1009]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -10.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Walton	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	16	59%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03	-0.01	0.05	0.01	15	55%	0.12	4	-0.09	8	50%	-0.03
Devean George	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.04	0.02	12	48%	-0.01	1	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	7	37%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Smush Parker	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.11	0.01	-0.09	0.03	13	50%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	21	44%	-0.05	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.24	0.24	0.16	0.09	0.01	10	96%	0.32	3	-0.08	3	67%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.10	0.00	7	68%	0.20	0	0.00	8	100%	0.06
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.03	0.02	15	59%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.05,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	12	62%	0.12	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.05
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	67%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Brian Grant	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	16	42%	-0.04	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	3.8	33.0	17.5	27.2	3.5	42.2	154.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +47.6%

PHX +26.6%

LAL -26.9%

PHX +1.3%

PHX +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	16.4	13.9	15.6	106.2	113.8	104.4
season	15.6	13.8		106.2	110.2
opponent	16.1	15.5		105.8	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.7	17.1	17.2	16.8	16.4
PHX	13.0	14.8	14.7	13.2	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim Jackson	17	17	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-9	13	15.7	16.6	-0.86	15.5	13.5	1.95
Brian Cook	27	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-5	5	14.4	17.2	-2.80	11.1	14.8	-3.63
Luke Walton	72	71	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.22	2	-7	9	15.7	18.5	-2.83	13.3	15.7	-2.36
Sasha Vujacic	20	19	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	0	-5	20.1	15.4	4.65	14.2	13.8	0.36
Devean George	15	15	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	2	-9	21.5	15.5	6.06	15.7	13.5	2.21
Kwame Brown	57	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-2	-1	16.6	16.1	0.53	15.0	12.1	2.85
Smush Parker	86	84	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.34	-4	-1	-3	16.6	15.0	1.58	13.7	15.1	-1.37
Lamar Odom	92	90	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.35	-5	0	-5	16.1	23.5	-7.39	13.9	13.7	0.13
Kobe Bryant	94	93	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.33	-7	2	-9	16.1	32.0	-15.91	13.8	22.0	-8.22

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Thomas	68	70	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.30	10	-5	15	13.7	14.2	-0.50	16.1	17.3	-1.17
Steve Nash	77	78	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	0	5	13.8	14.2	-0.44	15.7	19.4	-3.73
Raja Bell	68	69	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.10	11	-6	17	13.1	15.8	-2.62	15.3	19.2	-3.85
Shawn Marion	90	92	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	4	-3	14.0	10.2	3.78	16.4	15.7	0.70
Boris Diaw	78	81	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.42	-2	7	-9	14.3	11.6	2.78	16.7	15.1	1.60
Leandro Barbosa	55	55	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.25	-1	6	-7	14.0	13.7	0.31	17.0	15.7	1.32
James Jones	17	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.04	1	4	-3	13.9	13.9	0.01	18.9	15.9	3.07
Eddie House	17	18	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	5	-5	14.2	13.8	0.44	19.4	15.7	3.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.66,0.59,0.57,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.84,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 80, MIN 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.69,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.97,1,0.91,1	94.5%
CHI 97, NJN 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.93,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.7%
BOS 112, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.64,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.97,0.91,1	93.5%