NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	80		Excitement	6.7 [457]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +16.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	83		Comeback	1.3 [892]		LVP	Brad Miller (SAC): -22.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Christie	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.07	0.03	0.05	0.01	17	62%	0.16	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	12	33%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	13	47%	-0.02	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Chris Webber	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	17	43%	-0.09	1	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04
Brad Miller	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.23	-0.11	-0.12	0.00	12	39%	-0.13	3	-0.10	4	25%	-0.06

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.16	0.16	0.02	0.14	-0.01	23	56%	0.22	2	-0.06	11	64%	-0.03
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.07	0.00	12	66%	0.16	4	-0.09	11	91%	0.08
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16	-0.16	-0.17	-0.04	-0.05	16	40%	0.01	6	-0.17	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	3.7	31.8	19.6	24.5	4.3	45.4	153.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +26.0%

MIN +30.5%

MIN +3.2%

SAC -11.5%

MIN +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIN	NBA	SAC	MIN	NBA
this game	15.5	15.5	15.7	87.0	88.3	100.5
season	14.7	15.6		106.9	103.2
opponent	16.1	15.6		98.4	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.6	16.8	15.2	13.6	15.5
MIN	15.4	16.0	15.5	15.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Songaila	0	1	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-3	3	0.0	15.5	-15.50	3.0	15.6	-12.60
Rodney Buford	30	30	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	4	-11	16.3	15.1	1.24	15.9	15.2	0.68
Chris Webber	76	79	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.41	4	-7	11	15.0	17.7	-2.65	15.1	17.2	-2.06
Brad Miller	68	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.47	5	-8	13	14.9	17.2	-2.31	15.5	15.3	0.17
Mike Bibby	82	83	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-3	3	15.4	16.2	-0.79	15.6	14.6	0.94
Vlade Divac	40	40	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.05	-15	12	-27	17.4	14.0	3.36	16.3	14.8	1.54
Peja Stojakovic	86	88	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.40	0	-3	3	15.7	12.3	3.39	15.6	13.3	2.28
Doug Christie	78	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	-1	-1	15.0	18.1	-3.12	15.0	18.2	-3.21

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wally Szczerbiak	39	37	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	-6	15	15.6	15.4	0.25	14.8	16.0	-1.20
Ervin Johnson	56	53	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.40	4	-1	5	16.3	14.2	2.07	15.5	15.4	0.11
Kevin Garnett	90	88	0.42	0.07	0.35	0.40	1	2	-1	15.4	17.0	-1.60	15.6	14.2	1.31
Latrell Sprewell	85	82	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.36	-2	5	-7	15.5	15.0	0.52	15.6	14.5	1.12
Fred Hoiberg	36	37	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	2	-1	16.3	15.0	1.31	14.9	15.9	-1.02
Trenton Hassell	48	49	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.21	1	2	-1	14.5	16.5	-1.94	16.5	14.4	2.12
Sam Cassell	77	75	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	4	-5	15.0	17.6	-2.59	15.1	17.1	-1.98
Gary Trent	11	12	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	2	-1	13.8	15.7	-1.87	15.7	15.5	0.19
Mark Madsen	29	29	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.07	0	3	-3	15.6	15.4	0.22	15.5	15.5	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.69,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.97,1,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 102, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.66,0.59,0.57,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.84,0.98,1	94.5%
CHI 97, NJN 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.93,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.7%
DET 98, SAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.51,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.95,1,1	93.4%