NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	97		Excitement	6.5 [534]		MVP	Josh Boone (NJN): +25.1%
New Jersey Nets	106		Comeback	1.1 [561]		LVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): -18.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andres Nocioni	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.08	0.01	10	73%	0.20	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Malik Allen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	10	52%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Ben Gordon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	15	42%	0.04	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Luol Deng	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.00	13	50%	0.09	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Ben Wallace	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	7	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Chris Duhon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	7	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	0.07	16	57%	-0.02	5	-0.10	3	100%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.10	0.14	-0.01	5	79%	0.28	2	-0.03	9	56%	-0.08
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.09	-0.02	8	83%	0.24	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Mikki Moore	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	11	79%	0.15	4	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	23	49%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Jason Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Adams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.06	0.04	8	28%	-0.14	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.06	0.04	18	42%	-0.11	3	-0.08	14	79%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	3.6	34.3	19.5	29.2	3.4	39.6	153.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +21.8%

CHI -1.2%

NJN +17.5%

NJN +5.8%

NJN +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NJN	NBA	CHI	NJN	NBA
this game	13.6	15.3	15.4	98.0	106.0	104.5
season	14.5	15.4		103.1	103.1
opponent	15.7	15.9		103.8	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.5	13.2	11.6	14.1	13.6
NJN	12.8	14.5	17.9	16.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Allen	9	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-8	7	13.7	13.6	0.07	23.7	14.6	9.15
Thabo Sefolosha	12	13	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-9	9	11.7	13.9	-2.21	19.7	14.7	5.01
P.J. Brown	52	54	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-9	9	14.5	12.7	1.80	15.8	14.8	0.93
Tyrus Thomas	29	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	-5	1	12.1	14.2	-2.17	15.1	15.4	-0.36
Chris Duhon	47	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-9	9	12.6	14.5	-1.92	14.8	15.8	-1.04
Andres Nocioni	62	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-5	1	13.0	14.5	-1.49	14.0	17.5	-3.54
Luol Deng	71	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-4	-1	14.0	12.6	1.39	15.3	15.5	-0.21
Ben Wallace	53	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.04	-11	2	-13	14.5	12.5	1.98	14.5	16.3	-1.83
Ben Gordon	90	91	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.22	-8	-1	-7	13.9	10.2	3.72	15.5	14.0	1.46
Kirk Hinrich	70	70	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	3	-15	13.6	13.7	-0.12	15.4	15.1	0.33

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	82	81	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-2	13	16.0	12.2	3.86	13.7	13.3	0.40
Richard Jefferson	83	81	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.28	9	0	9	15.8	13.2	2.52	13.9	12.5	1.35
Bostjan Nachbar	64	63	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	5	-1	14.8	16.3	-1.48	13.1	14.6	-1.49
Josh Boone	39	40	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.21	5	4	1	14.4	16.0	-1.59	14.3	13.2	1.12
Jason Kidd	83	83	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	-1	11	15.9	12.8	3.09	13.6	13.7	-0.17
Mikki Moore	64	62	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.05	11	-2	13	15.5	15.0	0.52	13.3	14.1	-0.80
Antoine Wright	35	36	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	10	-11	14.4	15.8	-1.47	13.6	13.6	-0.08
Marcus Williams	13	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.04	-2	11	-13	11.6	15.9	-4.27	12.7	13.7	-1.07
Jason Collins	36	35	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.03	0	9	-9	15.7	15.1	0.53	14.2	13.3	0.87
Hassan Adams	1	2	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	11	-13	9.0	15.4	-6.39	11.5	13.6	-2.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.93,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 112, LAL 124	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,1,1	94.1%
LAL 102, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.66,0.59,0.57,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.84,0.98,1	93.7%
GSW 101, HOU 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.7%