NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	112		Excitement	6.1 [575]		MVP	Jared Dudley (PHX): +23.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	124		Comeback	1.2 [999]		LVP	Channing Frye (PHX): -13.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.16	0.07	0.00	6	125%	0.25	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.19	0.00	0.05	17	71%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.05	0.02	17	62%	0.15	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Lou Amundson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	2	56%	0.06	0	0.00	5	60%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	64%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Steve Nash	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	8	61%	0.08	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	4	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.08	0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	14	51%	0.02	5	-0.10	7	57%	-0.05
Goran Dragic	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	6	21%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Channing Frye	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.10	0.00	5	110%	0.22	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.01	9	82%	0.16	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.05	0.02	19	60%	0.18	3	-0.06	10	70%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.02	5	93%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	3	80%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.03	0.03	10	71%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	19	50%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	8	35%	-0.00	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.3	2.8	33.1	20.4	26.4	3.7	37.2	154.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +34.0%

LAL +4.6%

LAL +6.0%

LAL +6.4%

PHX -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAL	NBA	PHX	LAL	NBA
this game	13.4	15.9	15.3	114.3	126.5	106.0
season	14.4	15.7		113.5	107.9
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.0	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.2	13.0	14.2	13.5	13.4
LAL	14.0	15.2	17.9	17.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	24	22	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-12	12	15.7	12.7	3.01	14.9	16.3	-1.40
Channing Frye	17	18	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-11	10	14.3	13.3	1.03	15.8	16.0	-0.21
Jared Dudley	58	57	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.21	2	-14	16	14.1	12.4	1.71	17.3	14.1	3.23
Robin Lopez	40	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	-4	-4	12.4	14.1	-1.71	15.1	16.5	-1.46
Grant Hill	63	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	-6	0	13.2	13.9	-0.74	16.3	15.2	1.13
Steve Nash	74	74	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.01	-9	-3	-6	12.8	15.5	-2.67	16.1	15.4	0.70
Goran Dragic	32	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-7	2	14.4	13.0	1.48	15.2	16.3	-1.08
Lou Amundson	24	23	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-5	-2	15.7	12.7	3.01	13.3	16.8	-3.46
Jason Richardson	74	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	0	-12	12.7	15.7	-3.01	16.3	14.9	1.40
Amar'e Stoudemire	84	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	2	-16	13.0	16.0	-2.99	16.0	15.4	0.61

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	91	90	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.06	18	-6	24	16.1	13.9	2.25	13.2	15.7	-2.52
Kobe Bryant	89	88	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.03	14	-2	16	16.1	14.1	2.02	12.9	17.8	-4.86
Jordan Farmar	27	27	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.20	8	4	4	16.1	15.9	0.27	15.7	12.6	3.13
Lamar Odom	66	65	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.14	8	4	4	16.7	14.4	2.29	13.7	12.9	0.84
Metta World Peace	82	83	0.28	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	6	0	16.0	15.9	0.09	13.3	14.1	-0.82
Shannon Brown	25	25	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	8	-4	15.2	16.2	-0.95	15.6	12.7	2.90
Derek Fisher	71	71	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	8	-4	15.9	16.1	-0.27	12.6	15.7	-3.13
Andrew Bynum	39	41	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.09	-2	14	-16	14.3	17.0	-2.73	13.4	13.4	0.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 101, HOU 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%
CHI 97, NJN 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.93,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1	94.1%
LAC 92, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.88,0.86,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%