NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	96		Excitement	6.3 [564]		MVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): +37.0%
Washington Wizards	106		Comeback	6.5 [369]		LVP	Donyell Marshall (CLE): -10.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.03	0.04	23	72%	0.29	7	-0.17	7	71%	-0.01
Ronald Murray	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.00	13	61%	0.12	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Anderson Varejao	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	7	65%	0.11	5	-0.11	6	50%	-0.04
Drew Gooden	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.03	3	75%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	7	47%	0.00	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Damon Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	1	0%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	29%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Donyell Marshall	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	6	25%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,0.01,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.11	0.28	0.02	20	60%	0.45	3	-0.08	17	82%	0.04
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.04	-0.03	8	65%	0.13	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	18	55%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Brendan Haywood	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Ruffin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	18	51%	0.02	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	0.01	9	35%	-0.04	2	-0.06	8	62%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	3.4	31.5	19.6	28.4	2.8	46.0	161.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -0.1%

WAS +17.9%

WAS +8.2%

WAS +28.9%

CLE -5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	WAS	NBA	CLE	WAS	NBA
this game	14.8	15.8	15.6	101.1	114.0	104.4
season	16.2	15.1		105.6	107.4
opponent	15.6	15.5		105.5	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.4	13.2	19.6	14.1	14.8
WAS	14.9	16.8	17.2	14.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Gooden	32	31	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-13	16	14.4	15.1	-0.66	17.4	15.0	2.42
Ira Newble	2	1	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.04	-1	-9	8	2.5	15.1	-12.61	25.0	15.7	9.29
Sasha Pavlovic	2	2	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	-7	4	6.5	15.0	-8.52	5.0	16.0	-11.04
Anderson Varejao	24	22	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-6	2	15.2	14.7	0.55	12.9	16.7	-3.85
Damon Jones	14	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.09	1	-11	12	11.1	15.5	-4.34	14.3	16.1	-1.84
Eric Snow	53	52	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-5	0	15.2	14.4	0.74	15.2	16.6	-1.39
Larry Hughes	67	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-7	4	15.2	13.9	1.35	16.6	13.7	2.93
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	66	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-7	4	15.3	13.8	1.56	16.9	13.0	3.84
Ronald Murray	71	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.25	-7	-3	-4	14.4	16.2	-1.88	15.1	17.9	-2.79
Donyell Marshall	55	53	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.21	-12	2	-14	15.3	14.2	1.07	15.5	16.2	-0.73
LeBron James	89	86	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.19	-16	6	-22	15.2	9.7	5.52	16.1	12.7	3.34

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	82	85	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.15	17	-7	24	15.9	15.2	0.71	15.3	11.0	4.29
Antonio Daniels	71	72	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.20	11	-1	12	15.0	18.4	-3.41	14.6	15.7	-1.18
Gilbert Arenas	93	95	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	0	10	15.8	0.0	15.81	14.8	0.0	14.84
Jared Jeffries	78	80	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.18	9	1	8	16.0	15.0	0.96	14.8	15.0	-0.19
Caron Butler	79	80	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.00	7	3	4	15.6	17.2	-1.66	14.6	16.1	-1.53
Michael Ruffin	23	24	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	9	-8	17.3	15.3	2.05	15.9	14.5	1.38
Brendan Haywood	39	39	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.17	-5	15	-20	16.4	15.4	1.00	14.3	15.2	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.36,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.96,0.91,0.89,0.93,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 94, LAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.24,0.18,0.22,0.36,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.99,1	93.9%
GSW 75, TOR 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.85,0.98,1	93.2%
IND 91, NJN 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.19,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.85,0.98,0.98,1	92.4%