NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	94		Excitement	6.0 [619]		MVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): +34.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	105		Comeback	6.1 [376]		LVP	Antonio McDyess (DET): -14.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23	0.11	0.09	-0.03	17	60%	0.23	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Tony Delk	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	1	125%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Carlos Delfino	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	18	49%	0.06	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Ben Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	4	58%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.06
Maurice Evans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	0.02	-0.08	0.02	17	50%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	15	41%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Antonio McDyess	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	4	20%	-0.07	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.15	0.19	-0.00	16	67%	0.34	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.17	0.02	0.07	26	62%	0.16	2	-0.04	13	100%	0.04
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.05	0.01	7	44%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Smush Parker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	9	60%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	43%	0.01	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	9	56%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.8	30.6	16.7	24.5	2.6	36.3	139.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +33.4%

LAL +13.3%

LAL +12.0%

DET -4.3%

DET -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	LAL	NBA	DET	LAL	NBA
this game	17.2	14.8	15.6	104.4	116.7	104.4
season	16.9	15.6		108.3	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.8		104.3	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.7	17.5	17.7	17.1	17.2
LAL	13.3	15.2	14.2	16.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	13	13	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-11	11	21.2	16.6	4.57	16.8	14.4	2.35
Tony Delk	8	9	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.11	1	-12	13	18.2	17.1	1.10	18.8	14.3	4.47
Rasheed Wallace	70	70	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-14	17	17.5	16.3	1.21	15.4	12.3	3.09
Richard Hamilton	66	66	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-14	17	17.4	16.7	0.67	15.5	12.7	2.73
Carlos Delfino	22	22	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	-4	-3	17.0	17.3	-0.26	14.0	15.0	-1.06
Maurice Evans	18	18	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-3	-5	21.1	16.3	4.76	15.3	14.6	0.72
Tayshaun Prince	66	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	0	-11	16.0	20.7	-4.78	13.6	17.8	-4.27
Ben Wallace	65	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	1	-13	15.7	21.3	-5.64	14.1	16.5	-2.44
Chauncey Billups	77	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	0	-11	16.6	21.2	-4.57	14.4	16.8	-2.35
Antonio McDyess	45	45	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.16	-13	2	-15	19.1	15.4	3.69	14.7	14.8	-0.18

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kwame Brown	55	55	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.19	20	-9	29	15.1	14.3	0.77	17.5	16.8	0.77
Lamar Odom	80	79	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.17	17	-6	23	14.6	16.0	-1.40	17.1	18.1	-0.96
Smush Parker	66	67	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.25	11	0	11	15.0	14.1	0.86	17.6	16.3	1.26
Devean George	48	48	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.17	9	2	7	15.3	14.1	1.15	16.7	17.8	-1.06
Kobe Bryant	69	68	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.04	14	-3	17	14.3	16.2	-1.87	16.8	18.5	-1.72
Luke Walton	17	19	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	7	-3	15.6	14.6	1.03	20.9	16.3	4.63
Sasha Vujacic	22	21	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.10	4	7	-3	13.9	15.0	-1.18	16.0	17.6	-1.62
Brian Cook	47	46	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.07	-7	18	-25	14.5	15.1	-0.60	16.8	17.7	-0.99
Chris Mihm	46	47	-0.44	0.94	-1.39	0.05	-17	28	-45	14.8	14.7	0.19	17.3	17.2	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.24,0.18,0.22,0.36,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 96, WAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.36,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.96,0.91,0.89,0.93,1,1,1	93.9%
GSW 75, TOR 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.85,0.98,1	92.2%
IND 102, POR 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.34,0.4,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.37,0.36,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.91,0.98,1	92.1%