NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	91		Excitement	6.7 [457]		MVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): +13.8%
New Jersey Nets	98		Comeback	9.2 [227]		LVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): -31.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.01	9	58%	0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Austin Croshere	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	16	53%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Ron Mercer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08	-0.00	-0.09	-0.01	16	53%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Jonathan Bender	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	2	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Al Harrington	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	20	49%	-0.01	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.03	-0.06	9	46%	-0.03	4	-0.07	10	60%	-0.04

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	16	74%	0.30	5	-0.17	10	90%	0.04
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.11	-0.00	5	62%	0.13	0	0.00	6	100%	0.07
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	13	63%	0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	11	46%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.28,-0.31	-0.31	-0.25	-0.09	-0.02	11	18%	-0.21	4	-0.10	6	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	3.4	33.3	19.4	27.6	3.6	39.3	149.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +40.9%

NJN +20.0%

IND -3.8%

IND -11.2%

NJN +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NJN	NBA	IND	NJN	NBA
this game	16.9	13.8	15.5	96.8	105.4	101.6
season	15.4	15.0		102.2	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.5		96.1	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.0	16.5	18.0	16.3	16.9
NJN	14.3	14.0	14.0	13.2	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	11	10	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.02	1	-8	9	16.0	17.1	-1.06	13.3	13.9	-0.62
Ron Mercer	14	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-6	5	18.9	16.6	2.26	13.3	13.9	-0.63
Reggie Miller	69	70	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.20	4	-11	15	16.4	18.4	-2.05	14.0	13.4	0.61
Metta World Peace	51	51	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.26	5	-12	17	17.4	16.4	1.04	14.4	13.2	1.16
Brad Miller	76	74	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.21	2	-9	11	16.5	18.8	-2.35	14.3	12.0	2.32
Jamaal Tinsley	66	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-1	-5	16.7	17.4	-0.65	13.9	13.7	0.14
Jonathan Bender	24	23	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.07	-10	3	-13	16.5	17.1	-0.64	12.8	14.2	-1.36
Jermaine O'Neal	73	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.24	-7	0	-7	18.0	13.3	4.64	14.0	13.4	0.60
Austin Croshere	14	14	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.15	-13	6	-19	16.6	17.0	-0.43	12.3	14.1	-1.84
Al Harrington	72	71	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.29	-10	3	-13	16.7	17.6	-0.91	13.5	15.0	-1.57

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	38	39	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.13	21	-14	35	13.6	14.0	-0.41	17.1	16.8	0.24
Lucious Harris	37	38	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.24	14	-7	21	13.2	14.3	-1.10	17.6	16.5	1.03
Jason Kidd	85	86	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.25	10	-3	13	13.8	14.0	-0.16	17.2	14.4	2.80
Richard Jefferson	79	78	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	2	3	13.9	13.3	0.66	17.1	16.4	0.68
Rodney Rogers	32	36	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.07	6	1	5	13.4	14.1	-0.68	17.8	16.4	1.45
Kenyon Martin	66	65	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.25	-6	13	-19	13.8	14.1	-0.32	16.5	17.9	-1.44
Jason Collins	64	64	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.16	-5	12	-17	14.2	13.1	1.08	16.7	17.5	-0.88
Kerry Kittles	64	64	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.10	-10	17	-27	14.2	13.0	1.28	16.2	18.4	-2.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.19,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.85,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 96, WAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.36,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.96,0.91,0.89,0.93,1,1,1	92.4%
GSW 75, TOR 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.85,0.98,1	92.3%
CHA 89, PHX 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.68,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1	91.6%