inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 79 Excitement5.5 [754] MVPChauncey Billups (DET): +14.0%
Detroit Pistons 96 Comeback1.8 [884] LVPRasheed Wallace (DET): -16.1%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brent Barry0.120,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.080.040.015100%0.161-0.0400%0.00
Bruce Bowen0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.00-0.00872%0.101-0.03250%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Devin Brown0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Massenburg0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Glenn Robinson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.0220%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Robert Horry-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.00737%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Tony Parker-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.01-0.031652%0.004-0.06862%-0.02
Beno Udrih-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.0200%0.003-0.0600%0.00
Nazr Mohammed-0.060,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.010.00440%-0.041-0.0320%-0.05
Tim Duncan-0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.011541%-0.022-0.064100%0.02
Manu Ginobili-0.140,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.12-0.05-0.03650%0.016-0.152100%0.01

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.060.07-0.011265%0.171-0.03771%-0.01
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.040.00967%0.111-0.0200%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.000.031068%0.051-0.01250%-0.02
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.040.03-0.041050%0.032-0.004100%0.02
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.050.02-0.04623%0.0100.001100%0.01
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Darvin Ham00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ronald Dupree00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Darko Milicic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.01-0.002349%0.013-0.04367%-0.01
Rasheed Wallace0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.13-0.05-0.011331%-0.083-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.83.534.320.531.43.834.2157.5
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +8.7%
DET +10.3%
DET +12.0%
DET +20.1%
SAS -1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDETNBASASDETNBA
this game16.817.915.595.2115.7104.0
season16.316.7105.8103.5
opponent15.915.698.998.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.019.716.116.316.8
DET20.314.617.419.717.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasho Nesterovic11130.08-0.580.67-0.034-212515.716.9-1.2021.817.24.65
Devin Brown340.00-0.500.500.06-2-151315.316.8-1.4921.717.74.02
Tony Massenburg110.00-0.500.500.000-171723.016.76.305.018.1-13.09
Robert Horry5150-0.06-0.440.38-0.091-181916.517.3-0.8317.618.4-0.77
Glenn Robinson910-0.11-0.390.280.09-7-10319.216.52.7516.618.1-1.51
Tony Parker6665-0.15-0.350.21-0.03-4-13916.816.80.0119.213.45.80
Beno Udrih1415-0.24-0.260.030.06-10-7-316.616.8-0.2413.818.8-5.04
Bruce Bowen6869-0.24-0.260.020.02-9-8-116.219.3-3.1319.510.49.11
Manu Ginobili5353-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.10-6-11516.717.0-0.3117.718.3-0.58
Nazr Mohammed3231-0.31-0.19-0.110.07-13-4-917.716.21.4417.918.0-0.09
Brent Barry3836-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.05-15-2-1317.316.40.9115.519.8-4.34
Tim Duncan6968-0.720.22-0.93-0.01-247-3116.816.50.3317.221.2-3.99

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Richard Hamilton75750.52-0.020.530.051611518.116.21.8616.816.9-0.11
Antonio McDyess35350.460.040.420.14116516.319.1-2.8916.916.70.15
Tayshaun Prince71700.370.130.24-0.131701717.520.2-2.6216.916.20.64
Ben Wallace67670.370.130.240.02125718.316.41.9216.617.4-0.83
Chauncey Billups65670.360.140.23-0.081521318.117.40.6916.916.40.49
Lindsey Hunter36350.250.25-0.000.16314-1118.717.31.4516.117.3-1.23
Rasheed Wallace62620.170.33-0.16-0.15116518.915.13.7916.717.0-0.31
Carlos Arroyo110.000.50-0.500.00017-175.018.1-13.0923.016.76.30
Darvin Ham110.000.50-0.500.00017-175.018.1-13.0923.016.76.30
Ronald Dupree110.000.50-0.500.00017-175.018.1-13.0923.016.76.30
Darko Milicic110.000.50-0.500.00017-175.018.1-13.0923.016.76.30


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 80, SAS 990.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.64,0.78,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.5%
SEA 91, HOU 960.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.71,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.95,0.96,193.7%
CHI 100, LAL 1070.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,193.4%