NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	100		Excitement	6.0 [663]		MVP	Jabari Parker (CHI): +12.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	107		Comeback	1.7 [898]		LVP	Bobby Portis (CHI): -16.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jabari Parker	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.13	0.04	0.05	10	75%	0.12	0	0.00	4	50%	0.02
Wayne Selden	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.02	4	62%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	0.00	0.06	5	80%	0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Chandler Hutchison	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.01	9	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lauri Markkanen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	14	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Cristiano Felicio	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille Harrison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	10	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.06
Kris Dunn	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.02	-0.05	7	37%	-0.02	5	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Zach LaVine	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	11	42%	-0.00	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Wendell Carter Jr.	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	9	33%	-0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.03	-0.00	11	9%	-0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.06	-0.04	17	56%	0.17	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.05	-0.03	5	60%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	3	80%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	11	53%	0.05	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.03
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	2	87%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	10	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	13	53%	-0.01	3	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.01	-0.03	15	47%	0.05	5	-0.10	4	75%	0.02
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	4	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.3	26.3	14.7	27.3	2.3	37.7	136.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +28.8%

LAL +3.5%

LAL +9.7%

LAL +8.6%

CHI -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	LAL	NBA	CHI	LAL	NBA
this game	14.2	14.2	14.3	98.0	105.9	109.3
season	14.6	13.5		104.2	107.2
opponent	14.2	14.3		108.7	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.0	13.7	15.3	13.0	14.2
LAL	15.6	16.3	13.5	11.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Arcidiacono	43	44	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.32	17	-24	41	12.0	15.8	-3.80	13.0	15.1	-2.01
Cristiano Felicio	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-17	27	7.8	14.9	-7.09	6.6	15.1	-8.46
Shaquille Harrison	57	57	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.38	10	-17	27	12.2	16.8	-4.58	13.6	15.0	-1.42
Bobby Portis	38	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-3	-1	13.4	14.6	-1.19	14.7	13.9	0.75
Jabari Parker	41	40	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.29	5	-12	17	12.2	15.5	-3.35	12.9	15.0	-2.03
Wayne Selden	22	20	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	3	-13	15.0	14.0	1.02	13.7	14.3	-0.53
Chandler Hutchison	55	56	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-9	11	14.5	13.8	0.68	13.7	14.8	-1.12
Lauri Markkanen	61	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	5	-17	15.5	12.2	3.35	15.0	12.9	2.03
Wendell Carter Jr.	54	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.01	-13	6	-19	15.9	12.3	3.64	15.4	12.7	2.65
Zach LaVine	66	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.03	-15	8	-23	15.2	12.3	2.96	15.1	12.4	2.69
Kris Dunn	63	61	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	0.05	-25	18	-43	15.9	11.5	4.39	15.1	12.7	2.45

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lonzo Ball	74	76	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.20	13	-6	19	14.8	12.5	2.32	15.1	11.6	3.46
Tyson Chandler	51	52	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.03	19	-12	31	14.4	14.0	0.39	15.9	12.4	3.48
Brandon Ingram	83	84	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.22	9	-2	11	14.1	14.5	-0.39	14.6	12.4	2.13
Kyle Kuzma	64	65	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	-3	13	13.8	14.9	-1.13	14.2	14.1	0.14
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	66	65	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	-7	21	13.9	14.7	-0.78	14.6	13.5	1.07
Josh Hart	52	53	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.31	-2	9	-11	12.7	15.7	-2.98	12.9	15.6	-2.61
Svi Mykhailiuk	34	35	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.23	-4	11	-15	14.9	13.8	1.11	14.0	14.3	-0.34
JaVale McGee	28	29	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	7	-7	15.9	13.5	2.37	13.3	14.5	-1.19
Ivica Zubac	22	21	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.30	-12	19	-31	11.5	14.9	-3.37	11.1	15.0	-3.84
Lance Stephenson	8	7	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	11	-15	15.2	14.1	1.16	12.7	14.3	-1.59
Michael Beasley	23	23	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.09	-8	15	-23	16.2	13.6	2.58	12.3	14.7	-2.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 90, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.79,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.6%
CLE 103, GSW 115	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
NYK 93, NOP 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.4%