NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	103		Excitement	6.0 [594]		MVP	Mookie Blaylock (GSW): +20.6%
Golden State Warriors	115		Comeback	1.5 [430]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): -31.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Ferry	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	8	89%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Cedric Henderson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.02	6	67%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Andre Miller	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	11	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.01	0.04	27	61%	0.12	4	-0.11	8	87%	0.03
Andrew DeClercq	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	4	20%	-0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.19	-0.07	-0.01	11	12%	-0.19	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Kemp	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.24	-0.11	-0.03	12	45%	-0.12	7	-0.19	16	62%	-0.06

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.07	0.07	-0.07	14	73%	0.28	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.03	-0.01	24	62%	0.15	3	-0.05	12	92%	0.03
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	57%	0.08	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Sam Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.04	15	53%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Farmer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0.03	2	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.02	18	54%	-0.02	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Sam Jacobson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	30.4	16.4	27.7	1.8	30.3	135.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +29.1%

GSW +2.2%

GSW +5.5%

GSW +13.4%

CLE -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	GSW	NBA	CLE	GSW	NBA
this game	14.1	14.4	15.2	103.0	112.7	101.7
season	14.1	14.7		98.0	97.2
opponent	14.7	15.3		105.8	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.2	13.7	16.0	13.7	14.1
GSW	12.0	14.0	12.3	20.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Ferry	56	57	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.22	5	-17	22	14.2	14.1	0.11	15.7	12.7	3.03
Mark Bryant	9	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.00	-3	-9	6	11.8	14.4	-2.58	13.7	14.4	-0.69
Brevin Knight	55	54	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-10	8	14.4	13.8	0.60	13.1	15.8	-2.62
Andrew DeClercq	28	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-9	6	13.3	14.4	-1.12	16.2	13.7	2.55
Bob Sura	52	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.00	-6	-6	0	14.0	14.3	-0.35	11.7	17.2	-5.45
Wesley Person	25	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-7	2	14.4	14.1	0.31	15.3	14.0	1.29
Shawn Kemp	72	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-6	0	14.6	12.8	1.82	13.7	16.3	-2.55
Cedric Henderson	63	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	0	-12	13.8	14.7	-0.95	15.6	12.2	3.42
Andre Miller	54	56	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.10	-12	0	-12	14.5	13.7	0.76	15.6	13.0	2.60
Lamond Murray	86	86	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.08	-16	4	-20	14.1	14.4	-0.35	13.9	16.8	-2.88

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mookie Blaylock	80	80	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-1	14	13.5	17.7	-4.21	14.6	12.2	2.41
Donyell Marshall	91	89	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.15	12	0	12	13.9	18.4	-4.46	13.9	15.8	-1.90
Vonteego Cummings	54	51	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.13	9	3	6	16.9	11.5	5.37	13.9	14.3	-0.39
Jason Caffey	44	45	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.10	14	-2	16	12.6	15.7	-3.11	15.6	12.9	2.67
Antawn Jamison	89	87	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	8	-4	14.7	12.1	2.64	13.6	17.9	-4.36
Sam Mack	73	70	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.24	0	12	-12	15.3	12.0	3.33	13.6	15.3	-1.62
Sam Jacobson	55	54	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.08	8	4	4	13.9	14.9	-0.99	14.1	14.1	-0.00
Tony Farmer	14	13	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.02	2	10	-8	15.6	14.2	1.46	12.0	14.4	-2.45
Mark Davis	10	11	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.09	-2	14	-16	11.0	14.7	-3.75	17.3	13.7	3.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 79, ATL 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1	95.2%
LAL 100, PHX 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.98,0.93,0.95,1,1,1	94.9%
PHX 79, CHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.36,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.84,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%