NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	91		Excitement	6.3 [531]		MVP	Mario Elie (HOU): +4.3%
Houston Rockets	96		Comeback	1.4 [842]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (SEA): -29.1%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Graham	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.04	10	54%	0.02	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.02
David Wingate	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.02	0.05	7	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.01	22	54%	0.01	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	8	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11	-0.00	-0.00	0.10	10	48%	-0.09	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Terry Cummings	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	6	36%	-0.11	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.06
Shawn Kemp	-0.29	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.23,-0.29	-0.13	-0.13	0.03	16	52%	-0.06	8	-0.23	8	87%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	5	64%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.06
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.03	0.02	19	54%	0.05	1	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	11	58%	0.08	3	-0.07	4	50%	0.00
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	13	62%	0.11	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.03
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	19	53%	0.06	5	-0.13	7	57%	-0.05
Sedale Threatt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	464.8	2.6	29.2	19.3	25.4	2.5	43.4	587.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +49.2%

HOU +4.7%

HOU +4.3%

SEA -0.8%

SEA -7.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	HOU	NBA	SEA	HOU	NBA
this game	15.3	16.2	15.6	98.9	105.5	104.4
season	14.9	15.5		108.9	107.2
opponent	15.4	16.2		103.0	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.6	15.5	16.6	13.6	15.3
HOU	15.7	16.5	14.7	17.7	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Graham	11	10	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.23	11	-16	27	8.9	16.2	-7.26	16.3	16.2	0.14
Eric Snow	4	5	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	0	-5	14.0	15.4	-1.36	14.2	16.3	-2.09
Detlef Schrempf	69	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-4	3	14.8	16.8	-1.97	17.0	13.7	3.29
Shawn Kemp	81	80	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-2	-1	15.1	16.7	-1.62	16.2	15.6	0.61
Terry Cummings	43	42	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.16	-5	0	-5	17.2	13.7	3.53	15.8	16.5	-0.72
David Wingate	32	32	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.10	-8	3	-11	18.4	13.6	4.80	15.1	16.7	-1.62
Gary Payton	88	86	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.39	0	-5	5	15.4	14.0	1.36	16.3	14.2	2.09
Hersey Hawkins	84	83	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.40	0	-5	5	15.1	17.7	-2.68	16.4	14.2	2.11
Sam Perkins	51	51	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.09	-13	8	-21	15.0	15.7	-0.68	16.1	16.3	-0.22

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Barkley	83	83	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.37	5	0	5	16.2	15.5	0.74	15.3	15.7	-0.40
Clyde Drexler	81	82	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	0	5	16.1	16.6	-0.48	15.2	16.5	-1.34
Matt Maloney	72	71	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.28	4	1	3	16.1	16.6	-0.58	14.6	17.5	-2.88
Sedale Threatt	35	37	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	-2	9	15.7	16.5	-0.80	17.6	13.7	3.88
Hakeem Olajuwon	79	79	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	3	-1	16.1	16.4	-0.28	15.0	17.2	-2.24
Mario Elie	72	73	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.29	-1	6	-7	16.6	14.5	2.08	15.0	16.4	-1.34
Kevin Willis	20	22	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	2	1	16.0	16.2	-0.16	16.6	14.9	1.69
Eddie Johnson	13	13	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	5	-5	16.1	16.2	-0.12	14.8	15.4	-0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.71,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.95,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 80, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.64,0.78,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
DET 85, SAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.74,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%
NYK 93, NOP 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.5%