NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	80		Excitement	5.0 [786]		MVP	Chuck Person (SAS): +25.2%
San Antonio Spurs	99		Comeback	1.6 [642]		LVP	Clifford Robinson (PHX): -15.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Johnson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.04	-0.03	13	64%	0.11	3	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Dennis Scott	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marko Milic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.03	0.04	10	45%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	14	36%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	9	41%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Steve Nash	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	13	41%	-0.09	1	-0.04	6	67%	0.02
Jason Kidd	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.17	-0.01	-0.04	16	32%	-0.08	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.04	-0.02	6	0%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chuck Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.14	0.11	-0.00	11	82%	0.27	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.06	0.07	15	71%	0.15	1	-0.01	12	67%	-0.03
Brad Lohaus	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Geary	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	3	67%	0.03	3	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	8	61%	-0.00	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	9	27%	-0.13	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
David Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	12	42%	-0.07	2	-0.06	12	75%	-0.01
Jaren Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	-0.03	-0.03	10	31%	-0.05	2	-0.08	6	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	24.6	17.4	22.2	2.8	40.3	133.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +45.6%

SAS +0.6%

SAS +6.7%

PHX -3.6%

SAS +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	13.9	16.1	15.6	84.2	102.1	102.5
season	15.0	15.9		105.3	100.9
opponent	15.9	15.9		97.2	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.1	15.6	15.2	11.4	13.9
SAS	17.8	15.1	18.3	13.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marko Milic	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-23	27	8.1	14.5	-6.33	12.1	16.5	-4.34
Dennis Scott	32	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-16	13	11.6	15.1	-3.56	13.9	17.2	-3.30
Mark Bryant	57	58	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.10	-7	-12	5	14.6	12.9	1.63	17.4	14.1	3.35
George McCloud	42	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-18	17	12.7	14.9	-2.13	14.8	17.0	-2.24
Clifford Robinson	33	34	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.04	-10	-9	-1	15.2	13.2	1.97	17.0	15.6	1.42
Steve Nash	67	70	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-15	11	13.3	15.5	-2.28	15.5	17.4	-1.93
Hot Rod Williams	19	18	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	-6	-7	17.1	13.1	3.97	17.6	15.7	1.91
Kevin Johnson	60	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.16	-19	0	-19	13.5	14.7	-1.25	14.9	17.9	-3.02
Antonio McDyess	79	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.18	-21	2	-23	14.7	9.9	4.87	17.0	11.1	5.90
Jason Kidd	78	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.16	-21	2	-23	14.4	11.6	2.85	16.7	13.1	3.61

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaren Jackson	77	77	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.31	33	-14	47	14.9	20.6	-5.73	14.6	11.0	3.61
David Robinson	78	76	0.58	-0.09	0.67	-0.18	26	-7	33	16.4	14.6	1.83	15.2	8.8	6.42
Avery Johnson	80	79	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.26	25	-6	31	16.8	12.5	4.34	14.3	12.0	2.32
Chuck Person	40	39	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.10	19	0	19	17.8	14.8	3.02	15.3	12.9	2.39
Will Perdue	19	21	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.27	2	17	-15	17.1	15.8	1.31	14.3	13.8	0.46
Tim Duncan	71	68	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.38	16	3	13	17.4	12.3	5.11	14.6	12.1	2.54
Reggie Geary	9	8	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.19	-6	25	-31	10.1	16.7	-6.55	8.1	14.5	-6.33
Brad Lohaus	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	25	-31	11.4	16.5	-5.10	8.1	14.5	-6.33
Malik Rose	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	10.5	16.9	-6.46	7.8	14.8	-6.97
Vinny Del Negro	62	60	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	24	-29	17.2	14.1	3.12	13.2	15.1	-1.93
Monty Williams	28	27	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.15	-7	26	-33	12.7	17.4	-4.64	10.8	15.2	-4.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.64,0.78,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 91, HOU 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.71,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.95,0.96,1	94.8%
SAS 79, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
PHI 94, IND 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%