NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	100		Excitement	6.7 [507]		MVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DAL): +19.1%
Dallas Mavericks	103		Comeback	1.2 [1061]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): -23.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	9	73%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Yao Ming	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	13	71%	0.11	2	-0.06	16	62%	-0.11
David Wesley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jon Barry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.09	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bob Sura	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.24	-0.13	-0.10	0.01	22	43%	-0.19	2	-0.05	14	71%	-0.03

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.17,0.19	0.19	0.04	0.14	-0.01	13	61%	0.24	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	22	46%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	9	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.04	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	65%	0.03	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Josh Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.01	13	52%	-0.05	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	3.4	30.5	19.6	31.4	3.4	45.4	161.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +14.3%

HOU -0.7%

DAL +10.7%

DAL +18.4%

DAL +7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DAL	NBA	HOU	DAL	NBA
this game	13.9	17.4	15.5	108.7	112.0	104.0
season	16.0	14.9		104.2	108.2
opponent	15.5	15.8		103.4	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.0	15.1	14.3	11.9	13.9
DAL	16.6	17.6	15.7	19.9	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Padgett	42	43	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-8	13	14.4	13.4	0.96	16.6	18.2	-1.62
Bob Sura	43	42	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-2	1	14.3	13.4	0.92	17.0	17.8	-0.78
Ryan Bowen	5	6	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.16	-10	7	-17	15.6	13.8	1.84	9.8	18.0	-8.14
Dikembe Mutombo	22	22	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	2	-7	14.2	13.7	0.48	16.2	17.8	-1.66
Yao Ming	69	69	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.31	2	-5	7	13.9	13.6	0.33	18.1	15.6	2.51
Jon Barry	48	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.47	6	-9	15	13.3	14.5	-1.19	18.7	16.1	2.60
Mike James	59	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	-1	-1	13.0	15.3	-2.30	17.2	17.9	-0.68
David Wesley	92	92	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	13.9	0.0	13.86	17.4	0.0	17.45
Tracy McGrady	82	82	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.40	-7	4	-11	13.8	14.3	-0.50	17.3	18.3	-0.96

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerry Stackhouse	54	54	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.24	15	-12	27	16.4	18.9	-2.51	13.6	14.3	-0.73
Michael Finley	83	83	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.45	0	3	-3	18.0	12.3	5.67	13.9	13.4	0.46
Devin Harris	22	23	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.05	13	-10	23	14.8	18.3	-3.45	13.7	13.9	-0.22
Dirk Nowitzki	83	82	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.36	2	1	1	17.3	18.4	-1.11	13.5	16.4	-2.85
Josh Howard	59	60	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.35	-5	8	-13	17.9	16.7	1.17	13.4	14.6	-1.17
Alan Henderson	32	31	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	-2	7	16.7	17.8	-1.16	14.9	13.3	1.53
Jason Terry	70	69	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.37	-10	13	-23	18.3	14.8	3.45	13.9	13.7	0.22
Erick Dampier	25	27	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.16	-4	7	-11	21.2	16.1	5.10	14.8	13.5	1.35
Marquis Daniels	32	31	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	4	-5	15.1	18.7	-3.56	14.0	13.8	0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.85,0.91,0.87,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 79, SAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.83,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.91,1	94.1%
ORL 107, IND 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.78,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,1,1	93.8%
GSW 121, OKC 127	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.8%