NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	94		Excitement	8.5 [200]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +22.5%
Chicago Bulls	103		Comeback	3.3 [691]		LVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): -39.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.05	0.01	15	47%	0.11	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	12	42%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Etan Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	62%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.11
Anthony Peeler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	4	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Jared Jeffries	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	1	83%	0.02	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Kwame Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	11	48%	-0.03	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.04	-0.16	-0.02	20	62%	0.05	3	-0.15	10	80%	0.01
Gilbert Arenas	-0.39	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.32,-0.32,-0.38,-0.39	-0.24	-0.18	-0.03	19	22%	-0.25	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.09	-0.00	19	65%	0.23	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.06
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.06	0.00	18	57%	0.14	2	-0.07	8	87%	0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	6	64%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Reiner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	11	45%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	7	21%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	1	33%	-0.03	1	-0.07	4	50%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.04	-0.02	23	34%	-0.13	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.1	3.4	28.2	17.8	33.1	3.3	44.7	161.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +25.9%

WAS -1.6%

CHI +2.5%

CHI +23.8%

WAS -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	14.8	14.9	15.5	95.9	107.3	104.0
season	14.7	15.1		104.7	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.5		98.9	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.5	16.6	11.7	15.9	14.8
CHI	15.8	16.1	15.6	12.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	40	38	0.34	-0.84	1.17	0.10	8	-17	25	13.2	15.9	-2.64	16.4	13.9	2.51
Anthony Peeler	18	16	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.09	0	-9	9	10.9	15.6	-4.71	14.1	15.1	-0.94
Juan Dixon	39	38	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.09	-6	-3	-3	14.1	15.3	-1.18	14.1	15.5	-1.41
Etan Thomas	28	26	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-5	1	16.1	14.2	1.90	13.6	15.4	-1.82
Antawn Jamison	68	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-2	-5	15.2	13.9	1.32	15.2	14.2	0.95
Gilbert Arenas	96	94	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.32	-5	-4	-1	14.6	25.5	-10.94	14.8	18.5	-3.67
Larry Hughes	82	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.29	-8	-1	-7	15.2	12.7	2.43	14.9	14.7	0.24
Brendan Haywood	52	53	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.15	-14	5	-19	14.9	14.7	0.17	15.3	14.4	0.84
Kwame Brown	67	67	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.31	-9	0	-9	16.0	12.3	3.70	14.7	15.3	-0.63

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	35	36	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.23	14	-5	19	12.7	16.2	-3.45	15.2	14.6	0.60
Ben Gordon	65	68	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.27	10	-1	11	14.4	15.9	-1.47	15.1	14.0	1.13
Andres Nocioni	94	97	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.21	10	-1	11	15.0	10.0	5.01	14.7	23.0	-8.30
Kirk Hinrich	82	84	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.21	10	-1	11	14.7	16.3	-1.61	14.5	16.3	-1.75
Antonio Davis	58	59	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.14	7	2	5	15.5	14.1	1.41	14.6	15.1	-0.57
Chris Duhon	69	69	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	4	1	15.0	14.7	0.23	14.3	16.0	-1.68
Lawrence Funderburke	7	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	9	-9	13.9	15.0	-1.13	12.9	15.0	-2.08
Eric Piatkowski	30	30	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.07	0	9	-9	15.9	14.4	1.49	15.8	14.3	1.46
Othella Harrington	36	35	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	15	-21	16.1	14.2	1.84	15.3	14.5	0.82
Jared Reiner	4	4	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	14	-19	18.7	14.7	4.01	16.2	14.7	1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.45,0.33,0.35,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.61,0.63,0.95,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 94, POR 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.53,0.64,0.86,0.99,1	92.7%
GSW 98, TOR 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.59,0.76,0.86,0.81,0.63,0.9,0.99,1	91.1%
DET 90, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.69,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.95,1,1	91.0%