inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 81 Excitement3.7 [1073] MVPShaquille O'Neal (LAL): +5.3%
Los Angeles Lakers 105 Comeback1.0 [1205] LVPTim Duncan (SAS): -20.9%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bruce Bowen0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.00-0.00950%0.0300.0000%0.00
Devin Brown0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.060.000.031067%0.041-0.01450%0.00
Robert Horry0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.000100%0.0100.002100%0.01
Charlie Ward0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01462%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jason Hart0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Rose-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.100.00-0.09625%-0.0210.00450%-0.00
Kevin Willis-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.000.02444%-0.0300.0010%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.011355%0.013-0.06560%-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.13-0.00-0.0740%-0.033-0.0200%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu-0.080,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.00-0.01725%-0.061-0.01250%-0.01
Tony Parker-0.170,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.14-0.020.011231%-0.113-0.0620%-0.03
Tim Duncan-0.210,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.19-0.03-0.011433%-0.076-0.142100%0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.100.010.051376%0.092-0.041155%-0.06
Kobe Bryant0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.02-0.01-0.071365%0.115-0.06850%-0.02
Luke Walton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01150%0.0000.002100%0.00
Brian Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bryon Russell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rick Fox00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Karl Malone0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.001057%0.012-0.02333%-0.02
Kareem Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.000.03367%-0.0100.00367%0.00
Slava Medvedenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.01540%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.000.00557%-0.012-0.024100%0.00
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.000.03183%-0.012-0.04450%-0.03
Gary Payton0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.010.031060%-0.015-0.09580%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.23.532.416.836.23.533.2152.8
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +48.7%
LAL +3.6%
SAS -2.6%
LAL +4.1%
SAS -3.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASLALNBASASLALNBA
this game16.614.215.786.2112.9100.5
season15.915.4100.1102.8
opponent15.615.899.092.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS17.416.715.816.516.6
LAL13.918.412.412.914.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Charlie Ward12120.00-0.500.500.000-242413.517.0-3.5213.214.4-1.11
Malik Rose3232-0.01-0.490.470.02-1-232214.517.6-3.1012.914.9-2.00
Jason Hart1616-0.03-0.470.44-0.092-262815.016.9-1.9016.113.82.23
Devin Brown5048-0.07-0.430.35-0.04-1-232214.918.5-3.6614.913.51.41
Robert Horry2525-0.13-0.370.230.13-9-15615.217.1-1.8713.614.4-0.84
Kevin Willis2222-0.17-0.330.150.03-7-171015.117.0-1.9413.014.6-1.53
Rasho Nesterovic3939-0.18-0.320.140.23-14-10-418.815.03.8815.613.22.41
Manu Ginobili4847-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.00-10-14414.718.5-3.7313.814.6-0.78
Bruce Bowen5051-0.33-0.17-0.150.46-273-3018.714.24.4614.114.3-0.17
Hedo Turkoglu4645-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.08-9-15617.815.42.4513.514.9-1.45
Tim Duncan6766-0.46-0.04-0.410.01-16-8-817.614.03.5614.613.31.24
Tony Parker6362-0.47-0.03-0.440.35-284-3217.315.02.3514.413.90.47

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kobe Bryant82830.62-0.120.74-0.2931-73813.916.8-2.9516.418.1-1.72
Gary Payton71710.55-0.050.60-0.5136-124813.516.4-2.8717.413.93.52
Shaquille O'Neal68670.460.040.43-0.4732-84013.815.4-1.6818.312.45.85
Karl Malone66700.440.060.39-0.03168814.014.9-0.9016.317.3-1.02
Devean George46460.350.150.20-0.09159614.613.90.7418.714.54.20
Derek Fisher49510.110.39-0.27-0.03519-1414.813.61.1414.818.7-3.96
Kareem Rush31320.020.48-0.460.13-428-3215.313.71.5614.417.7-3.33
Brian Cook11110.000.50-0.500.06-226-2814.514.20.2713.717.0-3.22
Bryon Russell870.000.50-0.500.03-125-2615.014.10.8613.016.9-3.86
Luke Walton99-0.010.51-0.520.11-428-3213.314.3-0.989.017.4-8.38
Slava Medvedenko2019-0.020.52-0.53-0.05123-2216.613.53.1019.215.93.24
Rick Fox44-0.030.53-0.560.12-529-3414.014.2-0.2216.716.60.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 99, OKC 1190.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.65,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
SAS 72, LAL 1110.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
NJN 93, SAC 1130.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%