inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 99 Excitement3.6 [1072] MVPNenad Krstic (OKC): +12.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder 119 Comeback1.0 [1180] LVPJarrett Jack (TOR): -4.0%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sonny Weems0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.021154%0.022-0.004100%-0.00
Andrea Bargnani0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.05-0.000.03978%0.083-0.0700%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu0.010,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.01-0.02844%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Marco Belinelli0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.070.000.07473%0.0000.003100%0.00
Patrick O'Bryant0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03337%0.0010.00250%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.001040%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.01743%0.001-0.0200%0.00
DeMar DeRozan-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.000.000.021050%0.012-0.03683%0.01
Jose Calderon-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.07-0.00-0.05540%0.013-0.0400%0.00
Antoine Wright-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.02833%-0.011-0.03250%-0.01
Reggie Evans-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.01438%-0.012-0.02520%-0.03
Jarrett Jack-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.01-0.000.05861%-0.012-0.032100%0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nenad Krstic0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.100.030.01984%0.172-0.041100%0.00
Jeff Green0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.020.031265%0.102-0.02771%-0.01
Kevin Durant0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.130.000.061863%0.102-0.031090%0.03
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.020.011052%0.0600.00786%0.02
James Harden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.01860%0.0310.004100%0.02
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.02872%0.032-0.00250%-0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Kevin Ollie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Byron Mullens0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01540%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eric Maynor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.03430%-0.0110.00250%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.000.00450%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.62.828.117.426.42.531.5137.3
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +18.2%
OKC +18.2%
TOR -1.7%
OKC +11.4%
OKC +3.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTOROKCNBATOROKCNBA
this game14.215.115.3100.0121.4106.0
season15.015.0109.6106.2
opponent15.515.5103.1111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR15.712.614.713.814.2
OKC14.316.913.515.615.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Patrick O'Bryant1717-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-202013.514.3-0.7615.015.1-0.10
Marco Belinelli2425-0.00-0.500.49-0.124-242813.714.3-0.5415.614.90.70
Jose Calderon4242-0.02-0.480.450.12-5-151013.015.1-2.1015.514.70.82
Reggie Evans3433-0.11-0.390.280.18-10-10014.414.00.3815.315.00.29
Antoine Wright3432-0.13-0.370.240.19-11-9-212.914.8-1.9514.915.2-0.21
Rasho Nesterovic3536-0.17-0.330.160.03-7-13614.514.00.5914.415.5-1.14
Sonny Weems5554-0.19-0.310.12-0.04-5-151013.115.5-2.4116.113.92.21
Amir Johnson4947-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.03-8-12412.815.5-2.7015.814.41.44
DeMar DeRozan5656-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.05-9-11215.013.11.9314.416.0-1.65
Hedo Turkoglu4141-0.37-0.13-0.230.02-13-7-615.513.22.2214.915.2-0.35
Andrea Bargnani5655-0.45-0.05-0.410.10-19-1-1815.112.92.2614.615.7-1.18
Jarrett Jack5252-0.48-0.02-0.460.02-17-3-1415.412.82.5814.715.5-0.79

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Durant65660.480.020.45-0.4030-104014.416.5-2.1615.112.32.79
Russell Westbrook63620.470.030.45-0.2023-32614.416.3-1.8715.112.62.55
Jeff Green72730.470.030.45-0.1722-22414.317.1-2.7714.612.91.73
Nenad Krstic41430.370.130.25-0.101641214.915.2-0.3915.613.12.55
Thabo Sefolosha38400.320.180.14-0.09146814.715.3-0.6115.613.22.41
James Harden53530.180.32-0.140.12218-1615.414.70.7712.915.7-2.78
Nick Collison41400.170.33-0.170.02515-1016.014.41.6612.515.3-2.70
Eric Maynor42430.030.47-0.45-0.00119-1816.014.41.5713.015.0-1.97
Serge Ibaka51510.010.49-0.480.04-121-2215.914.21.7112.815.6-2.76
Kevin Ollie12120.000.50-0.500.18-626-3216.214.91.3313.214.3-1.13
Byron Mullens12120.000.50-0.500.18-626-3216.214.91.3313.214.3-1.13


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.65,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 81, LAL 1050.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
HOU 76, MIL 1150.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
MEM 100, DAL 1110.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%