inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 71 Excitement6.2 [568] MVPDavid Wesley (NOH): +14.9%
New Orleans Hornets 77 Comeback1.0 [1202] LVPLamar Odom (MIA): -26.5%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brian Grant0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.010.00757%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Udonis Haslem0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.02-0.001100%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Rafer Alston-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,00.03-0.030.00856%-0.0000.002100%0.02
Malik Allen-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00333%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Caron Butler-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.02,-0.04-0.01-0.030.001852%0.001-0.041080%0.05
Eddie Jones-0.160,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16-0.13-0.04-0.001319%-0.1600.001100%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.250,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.22-0.04-0.01812%-0.126-0.1200%0.00
Lamar Odom-0.270,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.23,-0.28,-0.27,-0.29,-0.28,-0.28,-0.3,-0.26,-0.29,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26-0.24-0.04-0.021839%-0.097-0.171070%0.00

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David Wesley0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.15,0.150.150.010.12-0.021358%0.192-0.04560%-0.00
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.070.070.020.05-0.01667%0.101-0.026100%0.05
David West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.030.001100%0.071-0.032100%0.02
Baron Davis0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.02-0.012049%0.063-0.073100%0.02
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.030.001030%-0.0800.0000%0.00
George Lynch0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.011235%-0.061-0.03250%0.00
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.09-0.03-0.0060%-0.1200.0000%0.00
Stacey Augmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14-0.14-0.08-0.07-0.01835%-0.111-0.02475%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.43.735.120.826.82.039.6154.4
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOH +37.4%
MIA -1.5%
MIA -1.3%
NOH +14.7%
NOH +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIANOHNBAMIANOHNBA
this game16.616.115.779.888.5100.5
season16.216.099.399.3
opponent15.715.999.498.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA18.514.317.716.616.6
NOH14.214.018.318.616.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Udonis Haslem2828-0.03-0.470.44-0.154-101415.517.1-1.6116.715.80.93
Malik Allen77-0.11-0.390.280.01-4-2-215.616.7-1.1612.016.4-4.44
Dwyane Wade5654-0.25-0.250.01-0.04-71-818.413.64.8214.918.1-3.24
Rafer Alston5555-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.34-1-5415.718.2-2.5815.816.6-0.81
Caron Butler8280-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.33-2-4216.715.61.1616.412.04.44
Brian Grant7067-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.29-4-2-217.015.41.5516.514.61.86
Lamar Odom7372-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.22-82-1016.815.71.1615.817.3-1.43
Eddie Jones7472-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.26-82-1015.920.2-4.2816.812.54.37

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David Wesley65670.59-0.090.690.3010-41416.415.31.0817.314.62.66
Jamaal Magloire65660.54-0.040.570.1812-61815.717.2-1.5316.616.7-0.13
Baron Davis69720.470.030.440.238-21016.016.4-0.3916.218.3-2.04
P.J. Brown69700.430.070.360.3142216.414.71.7117.114.92.22
Stacey Augmon44470.360.140.220.2151414.517.7-3.2915.817.6-1.76
George Lynch51520.230.27-0.030.1533017.214.52.6517.715.22.44
David West2828-0.040.54-0.580.08-410-1416.415.90.4614.717.5-2.86
Darrell Armstrong4443-0.080.58-0.660.15-814-2216.016.2-0.2116.516.8-0.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.83,0.7,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.84,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 79, MIL 800.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.81,0.87,0.8,0.86,0.97,0.85,0.84,0.73,194.4%
HOU 105, BKN 1100.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.88,0.91,0.98,194.3%
DET 92, NYK 950.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.81,0.84,0.94,0.9,194.2%