NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	105		Excitement	6.6 [516]		MVP	Marcus Thornton (HOU): +37.7%
Brooklyn Nets	110		Comeback	1.2 [448]		LVP	James Harden (HOU): -19.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Thornton	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.24,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38	0.27	0.13	0.02	18	82%	0.40	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Jason Terry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	5	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	10	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.04	0.02	16	69%	0.12	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.00	5	71%	0.08	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.04
Donatas Motiejunas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	8	33%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
James Harden	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2	-0.16	-0.05	-0.01	9	42%	-0.02	7	-0.17	6	83%	-0.02

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.31,0.29	0.29	0.10	0.19	0.00	15	67%	0.34	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	-0.00	16	56%	0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	13	77%	0.22	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Markel Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	2	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	14	71%	0.23	6	-0.17	6	100%	0.03
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	43%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	0.02	8	56%	0.02	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	2	33%	-0.00	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.3	28.5	15.5	27.3	2.4	31.6	129.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +42.9%

HOU -0.9%

BKN +13.6%

HOU -5.9%

BKN +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	BKN	NBA	HOU	BKN	NBA
this game	14.1	14.2	14.9	102.9	108.9	105.1
season	14.0	15.0		105.9	101.9
opponent	14.8	15.1		109.3	106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.9	15.0	12.8	13.0	14.1
BKN	14.7	12.2	13.9	16.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	30	30	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.37	14	-19	33	12.3	14.9	-2.65	16.1	13.4	2.70
Ty Lawson	41	41	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.14	5	-10	15	13.3	14.7	-1.45	14.9	13.8	1.08
Trevor Ariza	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.03	1	-6	7	20.3	13.7	6.60	14.0	14.3	-0.26
Marcus Thornton	55	54	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.46	14	-19	33	13.0	15.4	-2.43	15.3	13.0	2.31
Dwight Howard	60	58	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.31	5	-10	15	13.8	14.6	-0.82	14.6	13.7	0.86
Donatas Motiejunas	15	15	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	2	-9	14.9	14.0	0.86	14.2	14.2	-0.04
Terrence Jones	33	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	3	-11	15.3	13.6	1.77	12.7	15.0	-2.26
Corey Brewer	75	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.08	-9	4	-13	13.6	15.5	-1.88	13.9	15.1	-1.24
Clint Capela	58	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	8	-21	14.9	13.1	1.76	13.8	14.8	-1.04
Patrick Beverley	61	59	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.16	-12	7	-19	14.7	13.3	1.45	13.9	14.6	-0.69
James Harden	75	75	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.25	-15	10	-25	14.6	12.7	1.90	13.7	15.8	-2.17

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bojan Bogdanovic	79	81	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.20	16	-11	27	14.3	14.0	0.36	14.5	12.8	1.73
Jarrett Jack	80	81	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.30	8	-3	11	13.7	16.3	-2.59	14.0	14.9	-0.91
Joe Johnson	91	93	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	-1	7	14.1	15.7	-1.62	14.2	14.0	0.15
Thaddeus Young	73	72	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.16	11	-6	17	13.3	16.6	-3.23	14.4	13.5	0.90
Brook Lopez	81	82	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	0	5	14.3	14.1	0.17	14.3	13.6	0.67
Markel Brown	11	12	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.20	-2	7	-9	17.5	13.8	3.61	13.0	14.3	-1.29
Thomas Robinson	22	22	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.05	-2	7	-9	14.7	14.1	0.57	15.4	13.8	1.56
Wayne Ellington	35	34	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.19	-8	13	-21	15.3	13.7	1.60	13.2	14.6	-1.40
Shane Larkin	33	33	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.08	-9	14	-23	15.2	13.8	1.45	13.3	14.5	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.88,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 71, NOH 77	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.83,0.7,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.84,1	94.3%
DEN 93, SEA 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.8,0.91,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.2%
DET 92, NYK 95	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.81,0.84,0.94,0.9,1	94.0%