NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	79		Excitement	6.7 [462]		MVP	Herb Williams (NYK): +2.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	80		Comeback	1.1 [365]		LVP	Chris Childs (NYK): -43.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Herb Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	20	57%	0.11	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.02
John Wallace	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	-0.01	10	48%	-0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Walter McCarty	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	11	58%	0.01	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	10	37%	-0.09	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2	-0.07	-0.13	-0.00	5	50%	-0.10	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Chris Childs	-0.44	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.44	-0.07	-0.37	0.00	6	54%	-0.16	4	-0.28	1	100%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	15	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Joe Wolf	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.09,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.04	-0.00	16	62%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	8	39%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	10	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.08	0.00	5	73%	-0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	18	40%	-0.06	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	26.7	15.0	23.0	1.6	43.3	136.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +22.8%

NYK -11.2%

NYK -3.6%

MIL +34.3%

MIL +7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIL	NBA	NYK	MIL	NBA
this game	15.2	18.4	15.6	92.9	93.0	104.4
season	15.1	16.0		102.0	103.9
opponent	15.5	16.1		106.0	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.7	16.3	15.4	14.3	15.2
MIL	20.3	16.4	15.9	21.6	18.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Johnson	69	69	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.04	1	-2	3	15.1	15.7	-0.57	18.6	18.0	0.55
Herb Williams	12	12	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	5	-11	16.9	14.9	1.97	15.7	18.9	-3.23
John Wallace	18	18	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	1	-3	14.6	15.4	-0.85	18.7	18.4	0.35
Walter McCarty	19	17	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	4	-9	15.1	15.3	-0.22	17.8	18.6	-0.77
Patrick Ewing	69	72	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.53	9	-10	19	14.6	18.0	-3.42	19.2	14.8	4.37
Charlie Ward	42	41	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.44	5	-6	11	14.8	15.6	-0.77	18.5	18.4	0.09
Charles Oakley	68	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.38	0	-1	1	15.9	12.5	3.44	18.4	18.6	-0.18
Chris Childs	70	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.34	-2	1	-3	15.2	15.2	0.03	17.9	20.7	-2.76
Allan Houston	58	62	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.52	-5	4	-9	15.5	14.6	0.87	18.7	17.7	0.96

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Brown	41	40	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.45	6	-5	11	16.7	20.1	-3.41	15.2	15.2	0.05
Ray Allen	48	47	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.43	6	-5	11	17.2	19.9	-2.70	16.0	14.3	1.69
Vin Baker	60	60	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.29	6	-5	11	18.3	18.7	-0.30	16.2	12.8	3.38
Sherman Douglas	68	66	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.40	0	1	-1	18.8	17.2	1.54	15.4	14.6	0.83
Johnny Newman	42	42	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.41	-3	4	-7	18.9	18.0	0.90	15.4	15.1	0.31
Elliot Perry	18	19	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	0	1	17.2	18.8	-1.54	14.6	15.4	-0.83
Joe Wolf	3	4	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	0	1	19.7	18.4	1.27	23.5	14.8	8.69
Armen Gilliam	80	78	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.13	-5	6	-11	19.0	11.5	7.46	14.3	25.7	-11.43
Glenn Robinson	70	69	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.15	-7	8	-15	19.5	14.0	5.46	14.3	19.1	-4.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.81,0.87,0.8,0.86,0.97,0.85,0.84,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 71, NOH 77	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.83,0.7,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.84,1	94.4%
BKN 84, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.68,0.8,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.85,0.92,1	94.1%
CHI 97, POR 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.84,1	93.7%