NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	82		Excitement	4.1 [976]		MVP	Eric Snow (PHI): +6.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	95		Comeback	1.2 [1001]		LVP	Clifford Robinson (DET): -15.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Wallace	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	87%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Corliss Williamson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Jon Barry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	73%	0.07	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	18	64%	0.07	7	-0.16	11	82%	-0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	9	33%	-0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	9	25%	-0.09	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	79%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	6	75%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	11	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	11	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	27	54%	-0.00	4	-0.06	13	69%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	3.7	34.6	18.8	25.4	3.6	34.3	144.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +20.0%

PHI +2.9%

DET -4.0%

PHI +29.8%

PHI +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	17.2	15.5	15.5	93.2	108.0	101.6
season	16.8	15.3		101.7	102.1
opponent	15.5	15.6		99.9	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.1	18.7	19.9	13.8	17.2
PHI	15.6	14.0	16.1	16.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	18	18	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.06	1	-14	15	12.5	18.5	-5.96	16.3	15.3	0.99
Jon Barry	22	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-9	5	13.5	18.5	-4.92	15.4	15.5	-0.11
Chauncey Billups	40	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.11	-1	-12	11	18.6	16.1	2.54	15.4	15.6	-0.16
Michael Curry	30	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	-8	3	20.3	15.7	4.64	15.8	15.3	0.45
Zeljko Rebraca	7	7	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	-6	-1	17.3	17.2	0.05	11.9	15.8	-3.95
Clifford Robinson	36	37	-0.23	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	-6	-1	19.9	15.4	4.49	15.5	15.5	-0.05
Mehmet Okur	52	51	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-7	1	15.4	19.9	-4.49	15.5	15.5	0.05
Ben Wallace	69	69	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-10	7	18.3	13.3	5.00	15.7	14.8	0.82
Richard Hamilton	72	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	-3	-7	17.3	16.7	0.60	15.8	14.4	1.31
Chucky Atkins	48	48	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.01	-12	-1	-11	16.1	18.6	-2.54	15.6	15.4	0.16
Tayshaun Prince	46	49	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.05	-11	-2	-9	17.1	17.4	-0.36	14.9	16.2	-1.24

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Coleman	74	72	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.11	16	-3	19	15.0	18.3	-3.33	17.5	16.1	1.44
Eric Snow	68	69	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.13	15	-2	17	15.0	17.1	-2.15	18.0	14.3	3.73
Allen Iverson	86	86	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	3	7	15.3	22.0	-6.66	17.5	5.0	12.52
Kenny Thomas	77	75	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.21	8	5	3	15.2	17.6	-2.45	17.3	16.7	0.64
Keith Van Horn	63	64	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.04	15	-2	17	15.8	14.6	1.19	17.6	16.2	1.36
Aaron McKie	32	33	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	9	-5	17.2	14.5	2.67	14.6	18.8	-4.16
Tyrone Hill	25	25	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.17	-5	18	-23	15.9	15.3	0.60	18.7	16.7	2.01
John Salmons	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.08	3	10	-7	14.7	15.5	-0.85	3.7	17.7	-14.05
Greg Buckner	12	13	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	14	-15	17.6	15.2	2.43	14.2	17.8	-3.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.8,0.9,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 87, OKC 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.1%
IND 90, PHX 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
ORL 86, CLE 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.76,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.4%