NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	115		Excitement	6.4 [519]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +53.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	103		Comeback	1.3 [567]		LVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): -30.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.54	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.33,0.43,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54	0.28	0.22	-0.03	20	86%	0.58	2	-0.04	9	78%	0.03
Raef LaFrentz	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.17	0.03	0.01	11	83%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	5	69%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Nick Van Exel	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	18	39%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	12	46%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	12	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.01	11	68%	0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	7	76%	0.11	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.03
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	7	53%	0.04	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	8	44%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	87%	0.06	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.02
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	12	58%	0.01	3	-0.09	9	78%	-0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.21	-0.11	-0.01	16	34%	-0.23	3	-0.08	12	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.7	2.8	36.2	19.6	27.7	2.8	29.5	148.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +70.6%

POR -15.7%

POR -35.3%

DAL +31.2%

POR -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	POR	NBA	DAL	POR	NBA
this game	16.1	15.7	15.5	127.8	113.2	101.6
season	15.1	16.0		108.6	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.3		101.8	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.0	13.7	16.9	19.6	16.1
POR	15.0	15.7	15.9	16.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	72	74	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.11	19	-7	26	16.5	14.4	2.10	15.6	16.0	-0.36
Dirk Nowitzki	88	88	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.09	14	-2	16	16.0	22.5	-6.52	15.9	10.7	5.21
Shawn Bradley	45	46	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	3	6	15.9	16.3	-0.42	16.5	14.9	1.57
Michael Finley	55	54	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.04	7	5	2	15.5	17.1	-1.53	16.2	14.9	1.28
Nick Van Exel	60	61	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.17	0	12	-12	16.2	15.9	0.28	15.3	16.5	-1.24
Eduardo Najera	40	41	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	9	-6	15.8	16.4	-0.63	13.9	17.2	-3.28
Raef LaFrentz	61	62	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	12	-12	15.7	17.0	-1.24	16.0	15.1	0.88
Adrian Griffin	9	9	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	17	-22	14.8	16.3	-1.49	15.0	15.8	-0.78

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	46	43	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.16	8	-20	28	15.4	16.0	-0.59	14.4	17.7	-3.22
Jeff McInnis	27	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-11	10	13.7	16.5	-2.79	16.7	15.9	0.86
Bonzi Wells	73	74	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.14	-6	-6	0	15.5	16.7	-1.20	16.4	14.8	1.59
Qyntel Woods	5	4	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.05	0	-12	12	11.8	15.9	-4.13	15.7	16.1	-0.39
Ruben Patterson	61	59	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.12	1	-13	14	15.8	15.4	0.40	16.4	15.6	0.78
Dale Davis	57	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-5	-2	16.2	14.9	1.26	15.7	16.9	-1.22
Arvydas Sabonis	27	28	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-9	6	15.6	15.7	-0.10	14.4	16.9	-2.46
Damon Stoudamire	60	61	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.19	-12	0	-12	16.9	13.4	3.56	16.5	15.3	1.20
Antonio Daniels	44	46	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.03	-19	7	-26	14.8	16.5	-1.71	16.6	15.6	0.95
Rasheed Wallace	55	55	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.16	-21	9	-30	16.4	14.7	1.67	17.0	14.7	2.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.32,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.33,0.37,0.26,0.19,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 104, CHA 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.22,0.12,0.07,0.01,0,0.01,0,0	93.2%
SAS 94, UTA 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.03,0.04,0,0,0	93.2%
NOH 98, PHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.51,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.26,0.32,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.23,0.14,0.16,0.05,0.1,0.01,0.06,0.02,0	93.0%