NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	104		Excitement	6.2 [601]		MVP	Avery Bradley (BOS): +37.7%
Charlotte Hornets	98		Comeback	1.9 [663]		LVP	Jonas Jerebko (BOS): -7.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Bradley	0.38	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38	0.23	0.15	0.01	19	77%	0.39	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.05	0.00	6	54%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Al Horford	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	10	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Zeller	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	-0.01	-0.06	4	25%	-0.03	1	0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Mickey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Isaiah Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	20	51%	0.04	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.03
Terry Rozier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	56%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	9	50%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Jerebko	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	0.03	1	150%	0.01	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.14	0.07	0.10	16	76%	0.19	4	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	4	70%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.08	-0.00	4	50%	0.09	1	-0.03	6	50%	0.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	10	41%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	7	31%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.03	0.05	8	61%	0.00	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	10	46%	-0.01	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	32.4	15.7	28.1	2.5	31.4	137.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +58.5%

CHA -24.2%

BOS +17.0%

CHA -1.7%

BOS +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHA	NBA	BOS	CHA	NBA
this game	14.9	15.6	14.8	108.3	105.4	107.7
season	14.7	15.1		110.1	107.9
opponent	14.8	14.9		107.9	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.2	14.5	15.0	15.9	14.9
CHA	16.4	14.9	14.4	16.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Avery Bradley	73	70	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.26	11	-5	16	14.8	15.3	-0.51	15.3	16.5	-1.21
Al Horford	63	60	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	-4	14	14.7	15.3	-0.61	15.5	15.8	-0.22
Isaiah Thomas	71	67	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.00	14	-8	22	14.8	15.0	-0.17	15.8	15.1	0.69
Amir Johnson	43	42	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.08	15	-9	24	14.4	15.2	-0.83	15.2	16.0	-0.81
Jae Crowder	63	61	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	-4	14	14.1	16.3	-2.18	14.8	17.2	-2.45
Jonas Jerebko	36	34	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.44	-5	11	-16	15.6	14.4	1.22	16.9	14.9	2.00
Terry Rozier	41	41	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.47	-10	16	-26	16.0	14.0	2.01	15.8	15.5	0.26
Jaylen Brown	29	29	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.18	-1	7	-8	15.4	14.6	0.82	17.4	14.8	2.62
Tyler Zeller	23	24	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.22	-3	9	-12	15.2	14.8	0.45	16.4	15.3	1.03
Gerald Green	23	23	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.03	-6	12	-18	14.1	15.1	-0.98	14.7	15.9	-1.22
Jordan Mickey	15	14	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.09	-5	11	-16	15.5	14.8	0.78	14.5	15.8	-1.31

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lamb	18	19	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.11	10	-16	26	15.1	15.7	-0.69	15.5	14.7	0.75
Spencer Hawes	39	40	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.28	5	-11	16	15.7	15.5	0.18	15.4	14.5	0.99
Ramon Sessions	36	34	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-8	10	16.2	15.2	1.04	15.5	14.5	1.01
Frank Kaminsky	47	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.39	7	-13	20	15.3	15.9	-0.59	15.7	14.0	1.71
Marco Belinelli	45	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.35	4	-10	14	16.2	15.0	1.18	15.1	14.7	0.45
Cody Zeller	42	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.14	-13	7	-20	15.8	15.5	0.27	13.7	15.8	-2.05
Nicolas Batum	64	67	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	1	-8	15.0	17.0	-2.07	14.6	15.6	-0.97
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	48	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	4	-14	15.0	16.2	-1.18	14.7	15.1	-0.45
Marvin Williams	58	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	5	-16	15.7	15.5	0.16	14.6	15.3	-0.69
Kemba Walker	68	72	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.29	-17	11	-28	16.0	14.5	1.55	14.7	15.5	-0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.22,0.12,0.07,0.01,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 115, POR 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.32,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.33,0.37,0.26,0.19,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.2%
SAS 102, ATL 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.17,0.24,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.09,0.07,0.04,0,0,0	92.3%
CHI 105, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.1,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	92.1%