NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	98		Excitement	6.2 [585]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +23.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	91		Comeback	1.1 [652]		LVP	Marreese Speights (PHI): -11.4%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Posey	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19	0.08	0.10	-0.01	9	67%	0.21	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Rasual Butler	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.05	-0.02	11	62%	0.17	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	1	75%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Antonio Daniels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,0,0	-0.08	0.05	-0.04	16	47%	0.14	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Julian Wright	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
David West	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.07	0.01	26	52%	0.02	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.12	0.11	-0.01	18	71%	0.31	4	-0.07	6	100%	0.05
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.14	-0.01	0.04	16	78%	0.17	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	46%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	9	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.07
Willie Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	12	29%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	7	14%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.5	26.9	15.0	26.2	2.4	34.5	129.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +38.4%

NOH +3.3%

NOH +21.8%

PHI -10.8%

PHI -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	PHI	NBA	NOH	PHI	NBA
this game	17.9	15.3	15.5	111.4	107.1	106.4
season	16.6	15.5		105.9	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.6		105.5	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	18.3	19.3	14.8	19.6	17.9
PHI	16.8	15.7	15.8	13.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	66	66	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.23	19	-12	31	18.2	17.0	1.23	15.5	14.8	0.70
Chris Paul	81	79	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.22	15	-8	23	17.8	19.3	-1.48	15.1	18.0	-2.87
David West	83	81	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.29	9	-2	11	17.9	18.2	-0.30	15.1	19.7	-4.64
Rasual Butler	78	75	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.29	8	-1	9	17.5	21.1	-3.59	14.8	19.0	-4.16
James Posey	51	49	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.37	-4	11	-15	18.0	17.8	0.19	15.2	15.5	-0.34
Peja Stojakovic	47	46	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	-3	13	18.5	17.2	1.27	16.3	14.2	2.08
Julian Wright	5	4	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	9	-11	18.2	17.9	0.30	19.7	15.1	4.64
Antonio Daniels	7	6	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.07	-8	15	-23	19.3	17.8	1.48	18.0	15.1	2.87
Sean Marks	22	19	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.07	-12	19	-31	17.0	18.2	-1.23	14.8	15.5	-0.70

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	45	45	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.21	4	-11	15	16.2	14.4	1.76	16.7	19.2	-2.43
Thaddeus Young	73	78	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-9	11	14.9	17.8	-2.92	17.8	19.0	-1.22
Lou Williams	42	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.27	3	-10	13	14.4	16.3	-1.92	19.5	16.4	3.02
Andre Miller	69	73	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-10	13	14.8	17.5	-2.67	17.5	19.7	-2.19
Marreese Speights	35	35	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-5	3	14.1	16.2	-2.02	18.8	17.3	1.46
Willie Green	43	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.02	-10	3	-13	16.3	14.4	1.92	16.4	19.5	-3.02
Royal Ivey	21	20	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	0	-7	17.2	14.7	2.53	19.7	17.4	2.30
Samuel Dalembert	21	22	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.06	-14	7	-21	17.5	14.6	2.91	19.7	17.3	2.35
Andre Iguodala	76	79	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.15	-14	7	-21	15.1	17.2	-2.12	17.7	19.4	-1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.51,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.26,0.32,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.23,0.14,0.16,0.05,0.1,0.01,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 94, UTA 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.03,0.04,0,0,0	93.6%
BOS 86, DET 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.35,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0	93.5%
MIL 112, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.31,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.36,0.3,0.43,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.06,0.07,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%