NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	95		Excitement	3.1 [1145]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +18.4%
Sacramento Kings	108		Comeback	1.1 [1204]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -11.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.02	0.04	10	70%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	9	57%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Matt Harpring	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	12	54%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Arroyo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
John Stockton	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	9	57%	-0.03	2	-0.01	12	83%	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	14%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	0.00	-0.01	12	54%	0.01	7	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.19	0.00	0.01	16	76%	0.18	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	71%	0.05	2	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	11	45%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	-0.05	11	50%	0.04	5	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.03	5	60%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	11	58%	-0.01	3	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	3.7	28.1	19.5	30.9	3.5	29.5	140.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +27.9%

SAC +7.0%

SAC +7.7%

SAC +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAC	NBA	UTA	SAC	NBA
this game	17.2	14.2	15.5	103.3	118.7	101.6
season	16.3	14.0		103.1	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.3		98.6	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.5	17.2	18.2	16.2	17.2
SAC	13.1	15.5	13.9	14.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Arroyo	33	32	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.23	7	-20	27	16.4	17.7	-1.32	15.3	13.6	1.73
Scott Padgett	29	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-16	19	17.0	17.4	-0.40	14.8	14.0	0.87
Mark Jackson	52	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-15	17	17.4	17.1	0.29	15.0	13.3	1.65
Andrei Kirilenko	59	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-14	15	16.7	18.2	-1.47	14.7	13.4	1.29
Matt Harpring	58	58	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-7	1	17.4	17.0	0.33	14.1	14.5	-0.37
Tony Massenburg	42	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.18	-2	-11	9	16.7	17.7	-1.01	14.7	13.8	0.96
Karl Malone	58	58	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.02	-9	-4	-5	17.3	17.1	0.15	14.1	14.4	-0.32
John Stockton	40	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	2	-17	17.1	17.4	-0.29	13.3	15.0	-1.65
Greg Ostertag	55	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.12	-18	5	-23	17.7	16.5	1.26	13.6	15.1	-1.45
Calbert Cheaney	34	36	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.27	-28	15	-43	18.8	16.3	2.42	12.7	15.2	-2.57

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	70	70	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.18	23	-10	33	13.4	17.0	-3.61	18.3	14.0	4.26
Keon Clark	37	39	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.10	16	-3	19	12.9	15.1	-2.24	18.3	16.4	1.90
Scot Pollard	41	39	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.06	9	4	5	14.8	13.7	1.11	17.1	17.4	-0.28
Jim Jackson	52	54	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.09	8	5	3	14.3	14.2	0.12	17.1	17.5	-0.44
Bobby Jackson	49	51	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.05	8	5	3	13.8	14.8	-1.01	17.2	17.3	-0.05
Mike Bibby	53	53	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.01	7	6	1	15.0	13.1	1.87	16.7	18.0	-1.37
Vlade Divac	67	66	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	11	-9	14.5	13.4	1.15	17.2	17.2	0.01
Doug Christie	39	38	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	8	-3	14.2	14.3	-0.12	17.5	17.1	0.44
Chris Webber	24	25	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	8	-3	13.3	14.5	-1.20	17.6	17.1	0.50
Hedo Turkoglu	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	23	-33	16.8	13.7	3.09	14.0	17.9	-3.87
Gerald Wallace	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	17	-21	17.5	14.1	3.43	13.6	17.4	-3.85
Lawrence Funderburke	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	17	-21	17.5	14.1	3.43	13.6	17.4	-3.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 80, IND 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
WAS 87, NOH 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
BOS 98, ORL 121	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%