inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 87 Excitement3.3 [1138] MVPDavid Wesley (NOH): +7.3%
New Orleans Hornets 97 Comeback1.0 [1224] LVPGilbert Arenas (WAS): -12.9%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brendan Haywood0.020,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.00-0.00762%0.031-0.0220%-0.02
Juan Dixon0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Steve Blake-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04757%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jarvis Hayes-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.011150%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Brevin Knight-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01650%0.001-0.02250%-0.01
Kwame Brown-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.010.000.02564%0.012-0.04475%0.00
Christian Laettner-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00520%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Larry Hughes-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.120.00-0.071739%-0.033-0.02475%0.01
Etan Thomas-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.110.00-0.06641%-0.032-0.021070%-0.01
Jared Jeffries-0.100,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.110.00-0.02410%-0.062-0.03250%-0.01
Gilbert Arenas-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.140.00-0.001341%-0.064-0.07650%-0.03

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David Wesley0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.00-0.011369%0.123-0.053100%0.01
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.01-0.01678%0.082-0.026100%0.01
George Lynch0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.00757%0.0400.0000%0.00
Robert Traylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.02450%0.0300.0000%0.00
Baron Davis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.022061%0.064-0.06667%-0.01
Steven Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042125%0.0010.0000%0.00
Sean Rooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bryce Drew0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.02520%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Stacey Augmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.03133%-0.011-0.02450%-0.00
David West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.080.00-0.05529%-0.011-0.02450%-0.01
Jamaal Magloire0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.110.00-0.071433%-0.012-0.0320%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.724.315.626.11.834.0128.6
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOH +34.0%
NOH +5.9%
NOH +1.5%
NOH +8.1%
NOH +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASNOHNBAWASNOHNBA
this game15.014.715.788.8101.0100.5
season15.216.096.499.3
opponent15.715.399.4102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS16.614.515.013.915.0
NOH16.114.814.413.814.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steve Blake2928-0.08-0.420.35-0.349-192813.215.7-2.4515.014.60.45
Brendan Haywood4443-0.12-0.380.25-0.120-101016.114.11.9915.014.50.51
Christian Laettner4443-0.12-0.380.25-0.09-1-9815.414.60.7614.614.8-0.16
Juan Dixon1212-0.20-0.300.090.06-9-1-814.815.0-0.1615.714.61.08
Gilbert Arenas6966-0.22-0.280.06-0.220-101014.815.3-0.4814.515.2-0.65
Brevin Knight3637-0.23-0.270.04-0.03-7-3-414.915.0-0.1714.914.60.24
Jared Jeffries2424-0.24-0.260.030.03-9-1-815.814.71.1416.114.31.82
Larry Hughes6259-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.18-3-7415.014.90.1714.614.9-0.24
Kwame Brown5956-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.13-5-5015.114.70.3814.315.2-0.91
Jarvis Hayes5759-0.36-0.14-0.220.08-155-2015.214.60.5814.515.1-0.63
Etan Thomas5453-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.08-100-1014.116.1-1.9914.515.0-0.51

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darrell Armstrong51520.390.110.29-0.1318-82614.215.4-1.2014.615.4-0.75
David West40390.340.160.170.041001014.514.8-0.2914.615.2-0.59
Stacey Augmon38380.340.160.17-0.2520-103014.914.60.3815.814.41.38
Robert Traylor35350.330.170.170.041001014.315.0-0.6814.615.2-0.62
Baron Davis72760.330.170.160.041001014.615.2-0.6515.513.12.42
David Wesley53540.270.230.050.0482615.114.30.8415.414.41.02
Jamaal Magloire61630.170.33-0.170.17010-1015.014.30.6815.214.60.62
George Lynch46470.160.34-0.170.1419-814.514.9-0.4615.714.31.37
P.J. Brown56590.160.34-0.170.16010-1014.814.50.2915.214.60.59
Steven Smith12130.000.50-0.500.32-1121-3214.914.70.239.915.7-5.82
Sean Rooks870.000.50-0.500.23-818-2616.014.61.4011.615.2-3.66
Bryce Drew870.000.50-0.500.23-818-2616.014.61.4011.615.2-3.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 80, IND 1030.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
UTA 95, SAC 1080.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
CHA 63, PHI 940.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%